Statistics / Football / Austria. Regionalliga - South / Austria Klagenfurt vs Treibach

Austria Klagenfurt vs Treibach Statistics & Analysis

Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt
Aug 07, 2026 - 17:20
1 1.32
3 1.28
xG Accuracy: 57%
Treibach Treibach
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Austria Klagenfurt Treibach ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 01, 2026 · 02:13 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2677804

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Treibach win · Austria Klagenfurt 1–3 Treibach
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Regionalliga - South
  • Fixture: Austria Klagenfurt vs Treibach
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-07 17:20:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Austria Klagenfurt 1.32 — Treibach 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Regionalliga - South Regionalliga - South — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Austria Klagenfurt 7 5 1 1 16
2 Wolfsberger AC II 2 1 1 0 4
2 Velden 7 4 3 0 15
3 Treibach 7 4 2 1 14
4 Kalsdorf 6 4 2 0 14
5 Deutschlandsberger SC 6 3 2 1 11
6 Völkermarkt 7 3 1 3 10
7 Weiz 6 2 3 1 9
8 Allerheiligen 6 2 3 1 9
9 Tillmitsch 6 2 2 2 8
10 SV Lafnitz 6 2 2 2 8
11 Wolfsberger AC 7 2 2 3 8
12 Bleiburg 7 1 3 3 6
13 Gleisdorf 09 6 1 1 4 4
14 Donau Klagenfurt 7 0 3 4 3
15 Wolfsberg 7 0 3 4 3
16 Hartberg (Am) 6 0 1 5 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Austria Klagenfurt 7 16 8 +8 16
2 Treibach 7 14 6 +8 14
3 Kalsdorf 6 14 6 +8 14
4 Deutschlandsberger SC 6 14 9 +5 11
5 Völkermarkt 7 13 9 +4 10
6 Allerheiligen 6 13 10 +3 9
7 Velden 7 12 5 +7 15
8 Tillmitsch 6 11 12 -1 8
9 Weiz 6 10 6 +4 9
10 SV Lafnitz 6 10 12 -2 8
11 Bleiburg 7 10 12 -2 6
12 Wolfsberger AC 7 9 13 -4 8
13 Gleisdorf 09 6 7 12 -5 4
14 Donau Klagenfurt 7 6 12 -6 3
15 Wolfsberger AC II 2 4 2 +2 4
16 Hartberg (Am) 6 4 16 -12 1
17 Wolfsberg 7 3 18 -15 3
Regionalliga - South Austria. Regionalliga - South Predictions