Go Ahead Eagles U21 vs Twente / Heracles U21 Statistics & Analysis

Go Ahead Eagles U21

Sep 12, 2026 - 13:15

1 1.19

1 1.41

xG Accuracy: 85%

Twente / Heracles U21

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Twente / Heracles U21 Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-0 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 01:31 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7437253

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Go Ahead Eagles U21 1–1 Twente / Heracles U21

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: U21 Divisie 1
Fixture: Go Ahead Eagles U21 vs Twente / Heracles U21
Kickoff: 2026-09-12 13:15:00
1X2 (model): Home 30.1% · Draw 29.4% · Away 40.5%
xG (showing): Go Ahead Eagles U21 1.19 — Twente / Heracles U21 1.41 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

U21 Divisie 1 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	L	PTS
1	Cambuur U21	1	1	0	3
2	Feyenoord U21	1	1	0	3
3	Groningen U21	1	1	0	3
4	PEC Zwolle U21	1	1	0	3
5	De Graafschap U21	1	0	1	0
6	Willem II U21	1	0	1	0
7	Twente / Heracles U21	1	0	1	0
8	Go Ahead Eagles U21	1	0	1	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Cambuur U21	1	5	0	+5	3
2	Feyenoord U21	1	3	0	+3	3
3	Groningen U21	1	2	1	+1	3
4	PEC Zwolle U21	1	1	0	+1	3
5	De Graafschap U21	1	1	2	-1	0
6	Willem II U21	1	0	1	-1	0
7	Twente / Heracles U21	1	0	3	-3	0
8	Go Ahead Eagles U21	1	0	5	-5	0