De Graafschap U21 vs Cambuur U21 Statistics & Analysis

De Graafschap U21

Sep 12, 2026 - 13:00

1 1.37

0 1.23

xG Accuracy: 64%

Cambuur U21

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 De Graafschap U21 De Graafschap U21 ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 01:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7434005

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result De Graafschap U21 win · De Graafschap U21 1–0 Cambuur U21

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: U21 Divisie 1
Fixture: De Graafschap U21 vs Cambuur U21
Kickoff: 2026-09-12 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
xG (showing): De Graafschap U21 1.37 — Cambuur U21 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

U21 Divisie 1 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	L	PTS
1	Cambuur U21	1	1	0	3
2	Feyenoord U21	1	1	0	3
3	Groningen U21	1	1	0	3
4	PEC Zwolle U21	1	1	0	3
5	De Graafschap U21	1	0	1	0
6	Willem II U21	1	0	1	0
7	Twente / Heracles U21	1	0	1	0
8	Go Ahead Eagles U21	1	0	1	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Cambuur U21	1	5	0	+5	3
2	Feyenoord U21	1	3	0	+3	3
3	Groningen U21	1	2	1	+1	3
4	PEC Zwolle U21	1	1	0	+1	3
5	De Graafschap U21	1	1	2	-1	0
6	Willem II U21	1	0	1	-1	0
7	Twente / Heracles U21	1	0	3	-3	0
8	Go Ahead Eagles U21	1	0	5	-5	0