Statistics / Football / Netherlands. U21 Divisie 1 / Twente / Heracles U21 vs Cambuur U21

Twente / Heracles U21 vs Cambuur U21 Statistics & Analysis

Sep 19, 2026 - 10:30
1 1.36
4 1.24
xG Accuracy: 42%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Twente / Heracles U21 Cambuur U21 ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 00:57 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8658279

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Cambuur U21 win · Twente / Heracles U21 1–4 Cambuur U21
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: U21 Divisie 1
  • Fixture: Twente / Heracles U21 vs Cambuur U21
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 10:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
  • xG (showing): Twente / Heracles U21 1.36 — Cambuur U21 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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U21 Divisie 1 U21 Divisie 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Feyenoord U21 3 3 0 0 9
2 Groningen U21 3 2 0 1 6
3 De Graafschap U21 3 2 0 1 6
4 PEC Zwolle U21 3 2 0 1 6
5 Cambuur U21 3 1 1 1 4
6 Willem II U21 3 0 1 2 1
7 Twente / Heracles U21 3 0 1 2 1
8 Go Ahead Eagles U21 3 0 1 2 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Feyenoord U21 3 10 3 +7 9
2 Cambuur U21 3 8 4 +4 4
3 Groningen U21 3 6 4 +2 6
4 De Graafschap U21 3 5 3 +2 6
5 PEC Zwolle U21 3 5 3 +2 6
6 Willem II U21 3 5 7 -2 1
7 Go Ahead Eagles U21 3 2 10 -8 1
8 Twente / Heracles U21 3 1 8 -7 1