Warriors vs Shatin Statistics & Analysis

Warriors

Aug 28, 2026 - 12:00

3 1.45

0 1.15

xG Accuracy: 48%

Shatin

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Warriors Warriors ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 3-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 22, 2026 · 01:35 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4917686

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Warriors win · Warriors 3–0 Shatin

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Premier League
Fixture: Warriors vs Shatin
Kickoff: 2026-08-28 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 42.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away 28.4%
xG (showing): Warriors 1.45 — Shatin 1.15 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Premier League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Kitchee	0	0	0	0	0
2	Warriors	0	0	0	0	0
3	North District	0	0	0	0	0
4	Wofoo Tai Po	0	0	0	0	0
5	Eastern	0	0	0	0	0
6	Kowloon City	0	0	0	0	0
7	Eastern District	0	0	0	0	0
8	Southern District	0	0	0	0	0
9	BC Rangers	0	0	0	0	0
10	Hong Kong FC	0	0	0	0	0
11	Shatin	0	0	0	0	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Kitchee	0	0	0	0	0
2	Warriors	0	0	0	0	0
3	North District	0	0	0	0	0
4	Wofoo Tai Po	0	0	0	0	0
5	Eastern	0	0	0	0	0
6	Kowloon City	0	0	0	0	0
7	Eastern District	0	0	0	0	0
8	Southern District	0	0	0	0	0
9	BC Rangers	0	0	0	0	0
10	Hong Kong FC	0	0	0	0	0
11	Shatin	0	0	0	0	0