Statistics / Football / Germany. 2. Frauen Bundesliga / Hoffenheim II W vs SGS Essen W

Hoffenheim II W vs SGS Essen W Statistics & Analysis

Hoffenheim II W Hoffenheim II W
Aug 23, 2026 - 12:00
1 1.32
4 1.28
xG Accuracy: 43%
SGS Essen W SGS Essen W
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Hoffenheim II W SGS Essen W ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 17, 2026 · 01:08 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4361824

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result SGS Essen W win · Hoffenheim II W 1–4 SGS Essen W
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 2. Frauen Bundesliga
  • Fixture: Hoffenheim II W vs SGS Essen W
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-23 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Hoffenheim II W 1.32 — SGS Essen W 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
2. Frauen Bundesliga 2. Frauen Bundesliga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Viktoria Berlin W 7 6 0 1 18
2 Hertha Berlin W 7 6 0 1 18
3 Bochum 7 5 1 1 16
4 SGS Essen W 7 5 1 1 16
5 Meppen 7 4 1 2 13
6 Carl Zeiss Jena W 7 4 0 3 12
7 Ingolstadt 6 3 1 2 10
8 Andernach W 7 3 0 4 9
9 SC Sand W 7 2 2 3 8
10 Borussia Monchengladbach W 6 2 0 4 6
10 B. Monchengladbach W 1 0 0 1 0
11 Eintracht Frankfurt II W 7 2 0 5 6
12 Hoffenheim II W 7 1 1 5 4
13 Turbine Potsdam W 7 1 0 6 3
14 FC Koln II W 7 0 1 6 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Bochum 7 19 3 +16 16
2 SGS Essen W 7 16 6 +10 16
3 Carl Zeiss Jena W 7 14 10 +4 12
4 Hertha Berlin W 7 13 8 +5 18
5 Viktoria Berlin W 7 12 5 +7 18
6 Meppen 7 12 5 +7 13
7 Borussia Monchengladbach W 6 11 14 -3 6
8 Hoffenheim II W 7 11 17 -6 4
9 Ingolstadt 6 9 7 +2 10
10 SC Sand W 7 9 11 -2 8
11 Andernach W 7 8 14 -6 9
12 Turbine Potsdam W 7 5 16 -11 3
13 Eintracht Frankfurt II W 7 4 15 -11 6
14 FC Koln II W 7 3 15 -12 1
15 B. Monchengladbach W 1 1 2 -1 0
2. Frauen Bundesliga Germany. 2. Frauen Bundesliga Predictions