Statistics / Football / Qatar. Second Division / Al Waab vs UMM Salal

Al Waab vs UMM Salal Statistics & Analysis

Al Waab Al Waab
Oct 14, 2026 - 16:45
0 1.27
1 1.33
xG Accuracy: 64%
UMM Salal UMM Salal
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 UMM Salal UMM Salal ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 08, 2026 · 02:15 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13899397

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result UMM Salal win · Al Waab 0–1 UMM Salal
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Second Division
  • Fixture: Al Waab vs UMM Salal
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-14 16:45:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
  • xG (showing): Al Waab 1.27 — UMM Salal 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 43.2% · Probability edge: +8.6 pts · Est. EV: +14.0%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Second Division Second Division — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Al-Markhiya 3 3 0 0 9
2 Al Bidda SC 3 2 1 0 7
3 Al Waab 3 2 1 0 7
4 Muaither SC 3 2 0 1 6
5 Al Kharaitiyat 3 1 2 0 5
6 Al Mesaimeer 3 1 1 1 4
7 UMM Salal 3 1 1 1 4
8 Al-Khor 3 1 0 2 3
9 Qatar U23 3 0 2 1 2
10 Al-Gharafa B 3 0 1 2 1
11 Al Shamal II 3 0 1 2 1
12 Al Rayyan SC B 3 0 0 3 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Al-Markhiya 3 8 0 +8 9
2 Al Bidda SC 3 6 1 +5 7
3 Muaither SC 3 6 2 +4 6
4 Al-Khor 3 6 7 -1 3
5 Al Waab 3 4 1 +3 7
6 Al Kharaitiyat 3 4 2 +2 5
7 UMM Salal 3 4 7 -3 4
8 Al Mesaimeer 3 3 3 0 4
9 Qatar U23 3 2 4 -2 2
10 Al-Gharafa B 3 1 5 -4 1
11 Al Rayyan SC B 3 1 8 -7 0
12 Al Shamal II 3 0 5 -5 1