Statistics / Football / Brazil. Goiano - 2 / Grêmio Anápolis vs Goiânia

Grêmio Anápolis vs Goiânia Statistics & Analysis

Grêmio Anápolis Grêmio Anápolis
Oct 07, 2026 - 22:00
4 1.30
0 1.30
xG Accuracy: 33%
Goiânia Goiânia
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Grêmio Anápolis Grêmio Anápolis ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 4-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 01, 2026 · 02:15 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12190679

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Grêmio Anápolis win · Grêmio Anápolis 4–0 Goiânia
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Goiano - 2
  • Fixture: Grêmio Anápolis vs Goiânia
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-07 22:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Grêmio Anápolis 1.3 — Goiânia 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 48.2% · Implied: 42.2% · Probability edge: +5.9 pts · Est. EV: +10.9%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 08, 2026 (UTC)

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Goiano - 2 Goiano - 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Rio Verde 16 9 5 2 32
2 Bom Jesus EC 16 7 7 2 28
3 Mineiros 16 7 4 5 25
4 Goianésia 15 6 6 3 24
5 Morrinhos 16 6 4 6 22
6 Goiânia 16 4 8 4 20
7 Tupy FC 15 4 6 5 18
8 Crixás EC 16 3 7 6 16
9 Trindade 16 2 6 8 12
10 Grêmio Anápolis 16 2 5 9 11
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Rio Verde 16 25 11 +14 32
2 Morrinhos 16 22 21 +1 22
3 Bom Jesus EC 16 21 13 +8 28
4 Goianésia 15 18 17 +1 24
5 Crixás EC 16 18 23 -5 16
6 Mineiros 16 17 14 +3 25
7 Grêmio Anápolis 16 16 27 -11 11
8 Tupy FC 15 13 13 0 18
9 Goiânia 16 13 14 -1 20
10 Trindade 16 13 23 -10 12
Goiano - 2 Brazil. Goiano - 2 Predictions