Crixás EC vs Goiânia Statistics & Analysis

Crixás EC

Oct 03, 2026 - 18:30

1 1.32

1 1.28

xG Accuracy: 85%

Goiânia

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Crixás EC Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:45 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11259558

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Crixás EC 1–1 Goiânia

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Goiano - 2
Fixture: Crixás EC vs Goiânia
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 18:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Crixás EC 1.32 — Goiânia 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 06, 2026 (UTC)

Explore More Predictions Content

Get Premium Predictions for Crixás EC & Goiânia!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now

Back to Statistics

Goiano - 2 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Rio Verde	16	9	5	2	32
2	Bom Jesus EC	16	7	7	2	28
3	Mineiros	16	7	4	5	25
4	Goianésia	15	6	6	3	24
5	Morrinhos	16	6	4	6	22
6	Goiânia	16	4	8	4	20
7	Tupy FC	15	4	6	5	18
8	Crixás EC	16	3	7	6	16
9	Trindade	16	2	6	8	12
10	Grêmio Anápolis	16	2	5	9	11

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Rio Verde	16	25	11	+14	32
2	Morrinhos	16	22	21	+1	22
3	Bom Jesus EC	16	21	13	+8	28
4	Goianésia	15	18	17	+1	24
5	Crixás EC	16	18	23	-5	16
6	Mineiros	16	17	14	+3	25
7	Grêmio Anápolis	16	16	27	-11	11
8	Tupy FC	15	13	13	0	18
9	Goiânia	16	13	14	-1	20
10	Trindade	16	13	23	-10	12