Statistics / Football / Brazil. Goiano - 2 / Bom Jesus EC vs Trindade

Bom Jesus EC vs Trindade Statistics & Analysis

Bom Jesus EC Bom Jesus EC
Oct 03, 2026 - 13:00
2 1.30
0 1.30
xG Accuracy: 58%
Trindade Trindade
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Bom Jesus EC Bom Jesus EC ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:45 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11259466

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Bom Jesus EC win · Bom Jesus EC 2–0 Trindade
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Goiano - 2
  • Fixture: Bom Jesus EC vs Trindade
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 18:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Bom Jesus EC 1.3 — Trindade 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Goiano - 2 Goiano - 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Rio Verde 17 9 6 2 33
2 Bom Jesus EC 17 8 7 2 31
3 Goianésia 17 8 6 3 30
4 Mineiros 17 8 4 5 28
5 Morrinhos 17 6 4 7 22
6 Goiânia 17 4 8 5 20
7 Tupy FC 17 4 7 6 19
8 Crixás EC 17 3 7 7 16
9 Grêmio Anápolis 17 3 5 9 14
10 Trindade 17 2 6 9 12
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Rio Verde 17 26 12 +14 33
2 Bom Jesus EC 17 24 15 +9 31
3 Goianésia 17 24 19 +5 30
4 Morrinhos 17 24 24 0 22
5 Grêmio Anápolis 17 20 27 -7 14
6 Mineiros 17 19 14 +5 28
7 Crixás EC 17 19 26 -7 16
8 Tupy FC 17 15 17 -2 19
9 Goiânia 17 13 18 -5 20
10 Trindade 17 13 25 -12 12
Goiano - 2 Brazil. Goiano - 2 Predictions