Statistics / Football / Brazil. Goiano - 2 / Crixás EC vs Trindade

Crixás EC vs Trindade Statistics & Analysis

Crixás EC Crixás EC
Sep 23, 2026 - 22:00
1 1.30
1 1.30
xG Accuracy: 85%
Trindade Trindade
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Crixás EC Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 17, 2026 · 01:43 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-9167540

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Crixás EC 1–1 Trindade
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Goiano - 2
  • Fixture: Crixás EC vs Trindade
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-23 18:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Crixás EC 1.3 — Trindade 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Goiano - 2 Goiano - 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Rio Verde 12 8 2 2 26
2 Goianésia 13 6 5 2 23
3 Bom Jesus EC 12 6 4 2 22
4 Morrinhos 12 5 3 4 18
5 Tupy FC 12 4 5 3 17
6 Goiânia 12 3 5 4 14
7 Mineiros 12 3 4 5 13
8 Crixás EC 12 2 5 5 11
9 Grêmio Anápolis 12 2 4 6 10
10 Trindade 13 1 5 7 8
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Rio Verde 12 20 7 +13 26
2 Morrinhos 12 19 17 +2 18
3 Goianésia 13 17 15 +2 23
4 Bom Jesus EC 12 14 8 +6 22
5 Crixás EC 12 14 19 -5 11
6 Grêmio Anápolis 12 13 18 -5 10
7 Tupy FC 12 12 10 +2 17
8 Mineiros 12 11 14 -3 13
9 Trindade 13 10 20 -10 8
10 Goiânia 12 8 10 -2 14
Goiano - 2 Brazil. Goiano - 2 Predictions