Statistics / Football / Brazil. Goiano - 2 / Rio Verde vs Goiânia

Rio Verde vs Goiânia Statistics & Analysis

Rio Verde Rio Verde
Sep 13, 2026 - 20:00
2 1.37
1 1.23
xG Accuracy: 79%
Goiânia Goiânia
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Rio Verde Rio Verde ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 02:22 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7460085

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Rio Verde win · Rio Verde 2–1 Goiânia
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Goiano - 2
  • Fixture: Rio Verde vs Goiânia
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-13 20:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
  • xG (showing): Rio Verde 1.37 — Goiânia 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Goiano - 2 Goiano - 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Rio Verde 14 8 4 2 28
2 Bom Jesus EC 14 6 6 2 24
3 Goianésia 14 6 6 2 24
4 Morrinhos 14 5 4 5 19
5 Mineiros 14 5 4 5 19
6 Goiânia 15 4 7 4 19
7 Tupy FC 15 4 6 5 18
8 Crixás EC 14 3 6 5 15
9 Grêmio Anápolis 14 2 5 7 11
10 Trindade 14 1 6 7 9
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Rio Verde 14 21 8 +13 28
2 Morrinhos 14 20 19 +1 19
3 Goianésia 14 18 16 +2 24
4 Bom Jesus EC 14 17 11 +6 24
5 Crixás EC 14 16 20 -4 15
6 Mineiros 14 15 14 +1 19
7 Grêmio Anápolis 14 15 23 -8 11
8 Tupy FC 15 13 13 0 18
9 Goiânia 15 12 13 -1 19
10 Trindade 14 11 21 -10 9
Goiano - 2 Brazil. Goiano - 2 Predictions