Statistics / Football / Brazil. Goiano - 2 / Grêmio Anápolis vs Mineiros

Grêmio Anápolis vs Mineiros Statistics & Analysis

Grêmio Anápolis Grêmio Anápolis
Aug 22, 2026 - 19:00
1 1.30
0 1.30
xG Accuracy: 64%
Mineiros Mineiros
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Grêmio Anápolis Grêmio Anápolis ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 16, 2026 · 03:06 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4242241

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Grêmio Anápolis win · Grêmio Anápolis 1–0 Mineiros
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Goiano - 2
  • Fixture: Grêmio Anápolis vs Mineiros
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-22 19:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Grêmio Anápolis 1.3 — Mineiros 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Goiano - 2 Goiano - 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Rio Verde 12 8 2 2 26
2 Goianésia 12 6 5 1 23
3 Bom Jesus EC 12 6 4 2 22
4 Morrinhos 12 5 3 4 18
5 Tupy FC 12 4 5 3 17
6 Goiânia 12 3 5 4 14
7 Mineiros 12 3 4 5 13
8 Crixás EC 12 2 5 5 11
9 Grêmio Anápolis 12 2 4 6 10
10 Trindade 12 0 5 7 5
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Rio Verde 12 20 7 +13 26
2 Morrinhos 12 19 17 +2 18
3 Goianésia 12 17 14 +3 23
4 Bom Jesus EC 12 14 8 +6 22
5 Crixás EC 12 14 19 -5 11
6 Grêmio Anápolis 12 13 18 -5 10
7 Tupy FC 12 12 10 +2 17
8 Mineiros 12 11 14 -3 13
9 Trindade 12 9 20 -11 5
10 Goiânia 12 8 10 -2 14
Goiano - 2 Brazil. Goiano - 2 Predictions