Statistics / Football / Bulgaria. Third League - Southeast / Sozopol vs Levski Krumovgrad

Sozopol vs Levski Krumovgrad Statistics & Analysis

Sozopol Sozopol
Oct 10, 2026 - 13:00
1 1.35
2 1.25
xG Accuracy: 74%
Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Sozopol Levski Krumovgrad ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:13 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13212784

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Levski Krumovgrad win · Sozopol 1–2 Levski Krumovgrad
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Third League - Southeast
  • Fixture: Sozopol vs Levski Krumovgrad
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
  • xG (showing): Sozopol 1.35 — Levski Krumovgrad 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 13, 2026 (UTC)

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Third League - Southeast Third League - Southeast — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Levski Krumovgrad 9 9 0 0 27
2 Maritsa Milevo 10 8 0 2 24
3 Spartak Plovdiv 9 8 0 1 24
4 Yambol 1915 9 5 2 2 17
5 Sayana Haskovo 8 5 2 1 17
6 Neftochimic Burgas 9 5 1 3 16
7 Rodopa Smolyan 9 4 2 3 14
8 Gigant Saedinenie 8 4 1 3 13
9 Sozopol 10 4 1 5 13
10 Rozova dolina 10 2 6 2 12
11 Zagorets 9 3 1 5 10
12 Botev Plovdiv II 8 2 3 3 9
13 Dimitrovgrad 10 2 2 6 8
14 Lokomotiv Plovdiv II 8 2 1 5 7
15 Atletik Kuklen 10 2 1 7 7
16 Sekirovo 9 1 3 5 6
17 Maritsa Plovdiv 10 1 2 7 5
18 Levski Karlovo 9 1 0 8 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Levski Krumovgrad 9 28 8 +20 27
2 Yambol 1915 9 27 12 +15 17
3 Maritsa Milevo 10 25 11 +14 24
4 Spartak Plovdiv 9 22 10 +12 24
5 Sozopol 10 20 19 +1 13
6 Neftochimic Burgas 9 18 13 +5 16
7 Gigant Saedinenie 8 17 14 +3 13
8 Rodopa Smolyan 9 16 14 +2 14
9 Sekirovo 9 16 27 -11 6
10 Sayana Haskovo 8 15 6 +9 17
11 Rozova dolina 10 15 16 -1 12
12 Botev Plovdiv II 8 13 15 -2 9
13 Dimitrovgrad 10 12 18 -6 8
14 Zagorets 9 10 19 -9 10
15 Lokomotiv Plovdiv II 8 10 21 -11 7
16 Atletik Kuklen 10 10 25 -15 7
17 Maritsa Plovdiv 10 8 17 -9 5
18 Levski Karlovo 9 5 22 -17 3
Third League - Southeast Bulgaria. Third League - Southeast Predictions