Statistics / Football / Bulgaria. Third League - Southeast / Spartak Plovdiv vs Rozova dolina

Spartak Plovdiv vs Rozova dolina Statistics & Analysis

Spartak Plovdiv Spartak Plovdiv
Sep 05, 2026 - 14:00
2 1.43
0 1.17
xG Accuracy: 62%
Rozova dolina Rozova dolina
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Spartak Plovdiv Spartak Plovdiv ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 2-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 30, 2026 · 02:55 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6150460

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Spartak Plovdiv win · Spartak Plovdiv 2–0 Rozova dolina
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Third League - Southeast
  • Fixture: Spartak Plovdiv vs Rozova dolina
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-05 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.4% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.3%
  • xG (showing): Spartak Plovdiv 1.43 — Rozova dolina 1.17 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Third League - Southeast Third League - Southeast — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Spartak Plovdiv 5 5 0 0 15
2 Levski Krumovgrad 5 5 0 0 15
3 Maritsa Milevo 5 4 0 1 12
4 Yambol 1915 5 3 1 1 10
5 Gigant Saedinenie 5 3 1 1 10
6 Sayana Haskovo 5 2 2 1 8
7 Rodopa Smolyan 5 2 1 2 7
8 Zagorets 5 2 1 2 7
9 Sozopol 5 2 0 3 6
10 Dimitrovgrad 5 2 0 3 6
11 Rozova dolina 5 1 3 1 6
12 Lokomotiv Plovdiv II 4 2 0 2 6
13 Atletik Kuklen 5 2 0 3 6
14 Neftochimic Burgas 4 1 1 2 4
15 Botev Plovdiv II 5 1 1 3 4
16 Sekirovo 5 0 2 3 2
17 Maritsa Plovdiv 5 0 1 4 1
18 Levski Karlovo 5 0 0 5 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Spartak Plovdiv 5 15 6 +9 15
2 Yambol 1915 5 15 6 +9 10
3 Levski Krumovgrad 5 14 6 +8 15
4 Gigant Saedinenie 5 12 9 +3 10
5 Maritsa Milevo 5 10 4 +6 12
6 Sozopol 5 10 9 +1 6
7 Dimitrovgrad 5 9 9 0 6
8 Sayana Haskovo 5 8 6 +2 8
9 Botev Plovdiv II 5 8 13 -5 4
10 Rodopa Smolyan 5 7 8 -1 7
11 Rozova dolina 5 6 6 0 6
12 Zagorets 5 6 7 -1 7
13 Neftochimic Burgas 4 6 8 -2 4
14 Lokomotiv Plovdiv II 4 5 6 -1 6
15 Sekirovo 5 5 12 -7 2
16 Atletik Kuklen 5 4 6 -2 6
17 Levski Karlovo 5 2 14 -12 0
18 Maritsa Plovdiv 5 1 8 -7 1
Third League - Southeast Bulgaria. Third League - Southeast Predictions