Maritsa Milevo vs Botev Plovdiv II Statistics & Analysis

Maritsa Milevo

Aug 29, 2026 - 15:30

4 1.44

2 1.16

xG Accuracy: 39%

Botev Plovdiv II

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Maritsa Milevo Maritsa Milevo ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 4-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 03:54 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5151270

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Maritsa Milevo win · Maritsa Milevo 4–2 Botev Plovdiv II

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Third League - Southeast
Fixture: Maritsa Milevo vs Botev Plovdiv II
Kickoff: 2026-08-29 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.9% · Draw 29.3% · Away 28.8%
xG (showing): Maritsa Milevo 1.44 — Botev Plovdiv II 1.16 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.0% · No 46.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.0% · No 46.0%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

Explore More Predictions Content

Get Premium Predictions for Maritsa Milevo & Botev Plovdiv II!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now

Back to Statistics

Third League - Southeast — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Spartak Plovdiv	5	5	0	0	15
2	Levski Krumovgrad	5	5	0	0	15
3	Maritsa Milevo	5	4	0	1	12
4	Yambol 1915	5	3	1	1	10
5	Gigant Saedinenie	5	3	1	1	10
6	Sayana Haskovo	5	2	2	1	8
7	Rodopa Smolyan	5	2	1	2	7
8	Zagorets	5	2	1	2	7
9	Sozopol	5	2	0	3	6
10	Dimitrovgrad	5	2	0	3	6
11	Rozova dolina	5	1	3	1	6
12	Lokomotiv Plovdiv II	4	2	0	2	6
13	Atletik Kuklen	5	2	0	3	6
14	Neftochimic Burgas	4	1	1	2	4
15	Botev Plovdiv II	5	1	1	3	4
16	Sekirovo	5	0	2	3	2
17	Maritsa Plovdiv	5	0	1	4	1
18	Levski Karlovo	5	0	0	5	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Spartak Plovdiv	5	15	6	+9	15
2	Yambol 1915	5	15	6	+9	10
3	Levski Krumovgrad	5	14	6	+8	15
4	Gigant Saedinenie	5	12	9	+3	10
5	Maritsa Milevo	5	10	4	+6	12
6	Sozopol	5	10	9	+1	6
7	Dimitrovgrad	5	9	9	0	6
8	Sayana Haskovo	5	8	6	+2	8
9	Botev Plovdiv II	5	8	13	-5	4
10	Rodopa Smolyan	5	7	8	-1	7
11	Rozova dolina	5	6	6	0	6
12	Zagorets	5	6	7	-1	7
13	Neftochimic Burgas	4	6	8	-2	4
14	Lokomotiv Plovdiv II	4	5	6	-1	6
15	Sekirovo	5	5	12	-7	2
16	Atletik Kuklen	5	4	6	-2	6
17	Levski Karlovo	5	2	14	-12	0
18	Maritsa Plovdiv	5	1	8	-7	1