Statistics / Football / Brazil. Carioca B2 / Barra Mansa vs Campos AA

Barra Mansa vs Campos AA Statistics & Analysis

Barra Mansa Barra Mansa
Aug 31, 2026 - 17:45
2 1.27
2 1.33
xG Accuracy: 68%
Campos AA Campos AA
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Campos AA Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 24, 2026 · 02:29 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5302344

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Barra Mansa 2–2 Campos AA
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Carioca B2
  • Fixture: Barra Mansa vs Campos AA
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-31 17:45:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
  • xG (showing): Barra Mansa 1.27 — Campos AA 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Carioca B2 Carioca B2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Cardoso Moreira 3 3 0 0 9
2 Friburguense 3 2 1 0 7
3 Santa Cruz RJ 3 2 0 1 6
4 Paduano 3 2 0 1 6
5 SE Belford Roxo 3 1 2 0 5
6 Campos AA 3 1 2 0 5
7 Rio de Janeiro 3 1 1 1 4
8 Barra Mansa 2 0 2 0 2
9 Serra Macaense 3 0 1 2 1
10 7 de Abril 2 0 1 1 1
11 Paraty 3 0 0 3 0
12 Búzios 3 0 0 3 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 SE Belford Roxo 3 6 2 +4 5
2 Campos AA 3 6 5 +1 5
3 Cardoso Moreira 3 5 0 +5 9
4 Friburguense 3 5 1 +4 7
5 Santa Cruz RJ 3 5 1 +4 6
6 Paduano 3 3 2 +1 6
7 Rio de Janeiro 3 3 2 +1 4
8 Serra Macaense 3 3 5 -2 1
9 Barra Mansa 2 2 2 0 2
10 7 de Abril 2 2 4 -2 1
11 Paraty 3 2 10 -8 0
12 Búzios 3 1 9 -8 0
Carioca B2 Brazil. Carioca B2 Predictions