Statistics / Football / Armenia. First League / Olympia Yerevan vs Noah II

Olympia Yerevan vs Noah II Statistics & Analysis

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Olympia Yerevan
Oct 13, 2026 - 11:30
4 1.37
1 1.23
xG Accuracy: 46%
Noah II Noah II
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Olympia Yerevan Olympia Yerevan ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 07, 2026 · 01:47 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13655631

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Olympia Yerevan win · Olympia Yerevan 4–1 Noah II
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: First League
  • Fixture: Olympia Yerevan vs Noah II
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-13 11:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
  • xG (showing): Olympia Yerevan 1.37 — Noah II 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
First League First League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Olympia Yerevan 8 7 1 0 22
2 Andranik 9 6 1 2 19
3 BKMA II 9 6 1 2 19
4 Bentonit Ijevan 8 4 3 1 15
5 Araks Ararat 8 4 3 1 15
6 Lernayin Artsakh 9 4 0 5 12
7 Pyunik II 9 3 2 4 11
8 Mika 9 3 2 4 11
9 Shirak II 8 3 1 4 10
10 Ararat II 7 3 0 4 9
11 Banants II 9 1 5 3 8
12 Noah II 9 1 3 5 6
13 Sardarapat 2 9 2 0 7 6
13 Hayq 1 0 0 1 0
14 Ararat-Armenia II 9 1 2 6 5
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Bentonit Ijevan 8 25 16 +9 15
2 Andranik 9 23 10 +13 19
3 Olympia Yerevan 8 22 6 +16 22
4 BKMA II 9 22 11 +11 19
5 Lernayin Artsakh 9 18 21 -3 12
6 Mika 9 16 18 -2 11
7 Pyunik II 9 14 16 -2 11
8 Araks Ararat 8 13 7 +6 15
9 Ararat II 7 13 12 +1 9
10 Banants II 9 11 19 -8 8
11 Shirak II 8 10 16 -6 10
12 Ararat-Armenia II 9 9 19 -10 5
13 Noah II 9 9 24 -15 6
14 Sardarapat 2 9 8 18 -10 6
15 Hayq 1 0 3 -3 0
First League Armenia. First League Predictions