Statistics / Football / Armenia. First League / Mika vs Sardarapat 2

Mika vs Sardarapat 2 Statistics & Analysis

Mika Mika
Oct 08, 2026 - 11:30
3 1.20
2 1.40
xG Accuracy: 52%
⚽
Sardarapat 2
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Sardarapat 2 Mika ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 01:23 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10090552

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Mika win · Mika 3–2 Sardarapat 2
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: First League
  • Fixture: Mika vs Sardarapat 2
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-26 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 30.6% · Draw 29.5% · Away 40.0%
  • xG (showing): Mika 1.2 — Sardarapat 2 1.4 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 36.4% · Probability edge: +15.4 pts · Est. EV: +30.5%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
First League First League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Olympia Yerevan 7 6 1 0 19
2 BKMA II 8 5 1 2 16
3 Bentonit Ijevan 7 4 2 1 14
4 Andranik 7 4 1 2 13
5 Lernayin Artsakh 7 4 0 3 12
6 Pyunik II 8 3 2 3 11
7 Araks Ararat 6 2 3 1 9
8 Mika 7 2 2 3 8
9 Banants II 7 1 4 2 7
10 Shirak II 6 2 1 3 7
11 Ararat II 6 2 0 4 6
12 Noah II 8 1 3 4 6
13 Hayq 1 0 0 1 0
13 Ararat-Armenia II 7 1 2 4 5
14 Sardarapat 2 7 1 0 6 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Bentonit Ijevan 7 24 15 +9 14
2 Olympia Yerevan 7 18 5 +13 19
3 BKMA II 8 18 8 +10 16
4 Andranik 7 17 8 +9 13
5 Lernayin Artsakh 7 16 14 +2 12
6 Pyunik II 8 13 14 -1 11
7 Mika 7 12 14 -2 8
8 Banants II 7 10 16 -6 7
9 Araks Ararat 6 8 5 +3 9
10 Ararat II 6 8 11 -3 6
11 Noah II 8 8 20 -12 6
12 Ararat-Armenia II 7 7 12 -5 5
13 Shirak II 6 5 11 -6 7
14 Sardarapat 2 7 4 15 -11 3
15 Hayq 1 0 3 -3 0
First League Armenia. First League Predictions