Statistics / Football / Armenia. First League / Shirak II vs Araks Ararat

Shirak II vs Araks Ararat Statistics & Analysis

Aug 15, 2026 - 12:30
1 1.25
1 1.35
xG Accuracy: 85%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Araks Ararat Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 09, 2026 · 01:42 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3346197

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Shirak II 1–1 Araks Ararat
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: First League
  • Fixture: Shirak II vs Araks Ararat
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-15 12:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
  • xG (showing): Shirak II 1.25 — Araks Ararat 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Shirak II & Araks Ararat!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
First League First LeagueStandings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Olympia Yerevan 6 5 1 0 16
2 BKMA II 7 5 0 2 15
3 Andranik 6 4 1 1 13
4 Bentonit Ijevan 6 3 2 1 11
5 Pyunik II 6 3 2 1 11
6 Mika 5 2 1 2 7
7 Lernayin Artsakh 5 2 0 3 6
8 Noah II 7 1 3 3 6
9 Banants II 6 1 3 2 6
10 Araks Ararat 4 1 2 1 5
11 Shirak II 4 1 1 2 4
12 Ararat II 5 1 0 4 3
13 Sardarapat 2 5 1 0 4 3
13 Hayq 1 0 0 1 0
14 Ararat-Armenia II 6 0 2 4 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Bentonit Ijevan 6 22 14 +8 11
2 BKMA II 7 18 8 +10 15
3 Andranik 6 16 6 +10 13
4 Olympia Yerevan 6 15 5 +10 16
5 Pyunik II 6 12 10 +2 11
6 Mika 5 10 11 -1 7
7 Lernayin Artsakh 5 10 11 -1 6
8 Banants II 6 9 15 -6 6
9 Noah II 7 7 18 -11 6
10 Araks Ararat 4 6 5 +1 5
11 Ararat II 5 6 10 -4 3
12 Ararat-Armenia II 6 6 12 -6 2
13 Shirak II 4 3 7 -4 4
14 Sardarapat 2 5 2 10 -8 3
15 Hayq 1 0 3 -3 0