Statistics / Football / Switzerland. 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 / Vevey Sports vs Stade Payerne

Vevey Sports vs Stade Payerne Statistics & Analysis

Vevey Sports Vevey Sports
Oct 10, 2026 - 15:30
1 1.32
3 1.28
xG Accuracy: 57%
Stade Payerne Stade Payerne
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Vevey Sports Stade Payerne ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:47 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13242696

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Stade Payerne win · Vevey Sports 1–3 Stade Payerne
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 1. Liga Classic - Group 1
  • Fixture: Vevey Sports vs Stade Payerne
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 15:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Vevey Sports 1.32 — Stade Payerne 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
1. Liga Classic - Group 1 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Prishtina Bern 10 7 2 1 23
2 Azzurri 9 7 0 2 21
3 Servette II 9 5 3 1 18
4 Lausanne Sport II 10 4 5 1 17
5 Sion II 10 4 4 2 16
6 Portalban / Gletterens 10 4 2 4 14
7 Monthey 10 3 5 2 14
8 Naters 10 4 2 4 14
9 Lancy 10 4 1 5 13
10 Echallens 9 3 3 3 12
11 Meyrin 10 3 2 5 11
12 Chênois 9 3 2 4 11
13 Stade Payerne 10 3 1 6 10
14 La Chaux-de-Fonds 10 3 1 6 10
15 Coffrane 10 1 4 5 7
16 Vevey Sports 10 1 1 8 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Prishtina Bern 10 27 9 +18 23
2 Azzurri 9 21 11 +10 21
3 Lausanne Sport II 10 20 12 +8 17
4 Naters 10 20 27 -7 14
5 Portalban / Gletterens 10 18 13 +5 14
6 Meyrin 10 17 14 +3 11
7 Servette II 9 17 15 +2 18
8 Lancy 10 17 18 -1 13
9 Stade Payerne 10 17 24 -7 10
10 Monthey 10 15 13 +2 14
11 Echallens 9 15 16 -1 12
12 Chênois 9 15 16 -1 11
13 Vevey Sports 10 14 27 -13 4
14 Sion II 10 13 10 +3 16
15 La Chaux-de-Fonds 10 12 29 -17 10
16 Coffrane 10 10 14 -4 7