Lancy vs Coffrane Statistics & Analysis

Sep 26, 2026 - 15:00
0 1.38
1 1.22
xG Accuracy: 64%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Lancy Coffrane ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 02:26 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10111869

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Coffrane win · Lancy 0–1 Coffrane
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 1. Liga Classic - Group 1
  • Fixture: Lancy vs Coffrane
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-26 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.5%
  • xG (showing): Lancy 1.38 — Coffrane 1.22 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
1. Liga Classic - Group 1 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Prishtina Bern 8 5 2 1 17
2 Servette II 8 5 2 1 17
3 Lausanne Sport II 8 4 3 1 15
4 Sion II 8 4 3 1 15
5 Azzurri 7 5 0 2 15
6 Naters 8 4 2 2 14
7 Chênois 8 3 2 3 11
8 Monthey 8 2 5 1 11
9 Meyrin 8 3 1 4 10
10 La Chaux-de-Fonds 7 3 1 3 10
11 Echallens 8 2 3 3 9
12 Portalban / Gletterens 8 2 2 4 8
13 Stade Payerne 8 2 1 5 7
14 Lancy 8 2 1 5 7
15 Coffrane 8 1 3 4 6
16 Vevey Sports 8 0 1 7 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Prishtina Bern 8 19 8 +11 17
2 Naters 8 19 20 -1 14
3 Lausanne Sport II 8 17 9 +8 15
4 Meyrin 8 15 11 +4 10
5 Chênois 8 15 12 +3 11
6 Servette II 8 15 13 +2 17
7 Stade Payerne 8 14 20 -6 7
8 Echallens 8 13 15 -2 9
9 Azzurri 7 12 9 +3 15
10 Monthey 8 12 10 +2 11
11 Portalban / Gletterens 8 12 11 +1 8
12 Sion II 8 11 7 +4 15
13 Lancy 8 10 16 -6 7
14 La Chaux-de-Fonds 7 9 14 -5 10
15 Vevey Sports 8 9 24 -15 1
16 Coffrane 8 7 10 -3 6