Statistics / Football / Switzerland. 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 / Echallens vs Naters

Echallens vs Naters Statistics & Analysis

Echallens Echallens
Sep 19, 2026 - 15:00
3 1.29
4 1.31
xG Accuracy: 30%
Naters Naters
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Naters Naters ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:52 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8698921

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Naters win · Echallens 3–4 Naters
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 1. Liga Classic - Group 1
  • Fixture: Echallens vs Naters
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Echallens 1.29 — Naters 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
1. Liga Classic - Group 1 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Prishtina Bern 7 5 2 0 17
2 Lausanne Sport II 8 4 3 1 15
3 Azzurri 7 5 0 2 15
4 Servette II 7 4 2 1 14
5 Sion II 7 3 3 1 12
6 Naters 7 3 2 2 11
7 Meyrin 7 3 1 3 10
8 Chênois 7 3 1 3 10
9 La Chaux-de-Fonds 7 3 1 3 10
10 Echallens 8 2 3 3 9
11 Monthey 7 1 5 1 8
12 Portalban / Gletterens 7 2 1 4 7
13 Stade Payerne 7 2 1 4 7
14 Lancy 7 2 1 4 7
15 Coffrane 7 0 3 4 3
16 Vevey Sports 7 0 1 6 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Prishtina Bern 7 18 6 +12 17
2 Lausanne Sport II 8 17 9 +8 15
3 Naters 7 17 19 -2 11
4 Meyrin 7 14 9 +5 10
5 Chênois 7 14 11 +3 10
6 Stade Payerne 7 14 18 -4 7
7 Echallens 8 13 15 -2 9
8 Azzurri 7 12 9 +3 15
9 Portalban / Gletterens 7 11 10 +1 7
10 Servette II 7 11 12 -1 14
11 Monthey 7 10 9 +1 8
12 Lancy 7 10 15 -5 7
13 Sion II 7 9 7 +2 12
14 La Chaux-de-Fonds 7 9 14 -5 10
15 Vevey Sports 7 8 20 -12 1
16 Coffrane 7 6 10 -4 3
1. Liga Classic - Group 1 Switzerland. 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 Predictions