Statistics / Football / Switzerland. 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 / Stade Payerne vs La Chaux-de-Fonds

Stade Payerne vs La Chaux-de-Fonds Statistics & Analysis

Stade Payerne Stade Payerne
Aug 08, 2026 - 18:00
1 1.37
2 1.23
xG Accuracy: 73%
La Chaux-de-Fonds La Chaux-de-Fonds
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Stade Payerne La Chaux-de-Fonds ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 02, 2026 · 02:41 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2828103

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result La Chaux-de-Fonds win · Stade Payerne 1–2 La Chaux-de-Fonds
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 1. Liga Classic - Group 1
  • Fixture: Stade Payerne vs La Chaux-de-Fonds
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-08 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
  • xG (showing): Stade Payerne 1.37 — La Chaux-de-Fonds 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
1. Liga Classic - Group 1 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Prishtina Bern 6 4 2 0 14
2 Sion II 6 3 3 0 12
3 Lausanne Sport II 6 3 2 1 11
4 Servette II 6 3 2 1 11
5 Meyrin 6 3 1 2 10
6 Echallens 6 2 3 1 9
7 Azzurri 5 3 0 2 9
8 Monthey 6 1 5 0 8
9 Naters 6 2 2 2 8
10 Portalban / Gletterens 6 2 1 3 7
11 Chênois 6 2 1 3 7
12 Lancy 6 2 1 3 7
13 La Chaux-de-Fonds 6 2 1 3 7
14 Stade Payerne 6 1 1 4 4
15 Coffrane 5 0 3 2 3
16 Vevey Sports 6 0 0 6 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Prishtina Bern 6 17 6 +11 14
2 Lausanne Sport II 6 13 7 +6 11
3 Meyrin 6 13 7 +6 10
4 Naters 6 13 16 -3 8
5 Chênois 6 12 11 +1 7
6 Stade Payerne 6 11 17 -6 4
7 Portalban / Gletterens 6 10 8 +2 7
8 Sion II 6 9 5 +4 12
9 Monthey 6 9 7 +2 8
10 Echallens 6 9 8 +1 9
11 Servette II 6 9 11 -2 11
12 Lancy 6 9 12 -3 7
13 Azzurri 5 8 7 +1 9
14 La Chaux-de-Fonds 6 7 13 -6 7
15 Vevey Sports 6 7 19 -12 0
16 Coffrane 5 5 7 -2 3
1. Liga Classic - Group 1 Switzerland. 1. Liga Classic - Group 1 Predictions