Legnago Salus vs Mantova Statistics & Analysis

Legnago Salus

Aug 06, 2026 - 16:30

1 1.34

3 1.26

xG Accuracy: 56%

Mantova

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Legnago Salus Mantova ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 31, 2026 · 02:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2557853

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Mantova win · Legnago Salus 1–3 Mantova

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Friendlies Clubs
Fixture: Legnago Salus vs Mantova
Kickoff: 2026-08-06 16:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
xG (showing): Legnago Salus 1.34 — Mantova 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Legnago Salus
Model: 37.0% · Implied: 10.2% · Probability edge: +26.8 pts · Est. EV: +20.7%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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