Statistics / Football / Germany. Oberliga - Bremen / Geestemünde vs Brinkumer SV

Geestemünde vs Brinkumer SV Statistics & Analysis

Geestemünde Geestemünde
Sep 27, 2026 - 09:00
1 1.21
7 1.39
xG Accuracy: 20%
Brinkumer SV Brinkumer SV
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (8 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Brinkumer SV Brinkumer SV ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-7 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 00:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10080943

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Brinkumer SV win · Geestemünde 1–7 Brinkumer SV
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Oberliga - Bremen
  • Fixture: Geestemünde vs Brinkumer SV
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-27 09:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.5%
  • xG (showing): Geestemünde 1.21 — Brinkumer SV 1.39 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Oberliga - Bremen Oberliga - Bremen — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Hemelingen 8 7 1 0 22
2 Blumenthaler SV 8 7 0 1 21
3 OSC Bremerhaven 8 6 1 1 19
4 Brinkumer SV 7 6 0 1 18
5 Aumund-Vegesack 8 4 1 3 13
6 Eiche Horn 7 3 2 2 11
7 Vatan Sport 7 3 1 3 10
8 Grohn 8 3 1 4 10
9 Union Bremen 7 2 3 2 9
10 BTS Neustadt 8 3 0 5 9
11 Schwachhausen 7 3 0 4 9
12 Geestemünde 7 2 2 3 8
13 Leher TS 8 1 2 5 5
14 Werder Bremen III 8 1 1 6 4
15 Woltmershausen 8 1 1 6 4
16 Oberneuland 8 0 2 6 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 OSC Bremerhaven 8 33 6 +27 19
2 Hemelingen 8 31 3 +28 22
3 Blumenthaler SV 8 31 8 +23 21
4 Aumund-Vegesack 8 22 16 +6 13
5 Brinkumer SV 7 21 6 +15 18
6 Vatan Sport 7 19 15 +4 10
7 Geestemünde 7 17 21 -4 8
8 Union Bremen 7 14 15 -1 9
9 BTS Neustadt 8 14 21 -7 9
10 Grohn 8 13 22 -9 10
11 Werder Bremen III 8 12 24 -12 4
12 Woltmershausen 8 10 32 -22 4
13 Schwachhausen 7 9 18 -9 9
14 Leher TS 8 8 17 -9 5
15 Eiche Horn 7 7 11 -4 11
16 Oberneuland 8 7 33 -26 2