USA W vs Spain W Statistics & Analysis

Oct 13, 2026 - 23:00

2 1.45

2 1.15

xG Accuracy: 68%

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 07, 2026 · 02:52 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13672745

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · USA W 2–2 Spain W

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Friendlies Women
Fixture: USA W vs Spain W
Kickoff: 2026-10-13 23:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 42.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away 28.4%
xG (showing): USA W 1.45 — Spain W 1.15 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 43.3% · Probability edge: +8.5 pts · Est. EV: +14.0%
BTTS (model): Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Back to Statistics