Statistics / Football / Saudi-Arabia. Division 1 / Al Najma vs Damac

Al Najma vs Damac Statistics & Analysis

Al Najma Al Najma
Oct 12, 2026 - 15:15
3 1.38
0 1.22
xG Accuracy: 46%
Damac Damac
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Al Najma Al Najma ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 07, 2026 · 02:36 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13668273

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Al Najma win · Al Najma 3–0 Damac
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Division 1
  • Fixture: Al Najma vs Damac
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-12 15:15:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 40.3% · Draw 29.2% · Away 30.4%
  • xG (showing): Al Najma 1.38 — Damac 1.22 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Division 1 Division 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Al Ula 6 6 0 0 18
2 Al Zulfi 7 3 4 0 13
3 Al Jabalain 7 3 3 1 12
4 Al Wehda Club 7 2 5 0 11
5 Al Najma 7 2 4 1 10
6 Al Anwar 7 2 4 1 10
7 Al-Raed 7 3 1 3 10
8 Al Taee 7 3 1 3 10
9 Al-Adalah 7 2 3 2 9
10 Damac 7 2 3 2 9
11 Jeddah Club 7 2 2 3 8
12 Al Orubah 6 1 4 1 7
13 Al Saqer 7 1 4 2 7
14 Al Akhdoud 7 1 4 2 7
15 Al Jandal 7 1 3 3 6
16 Hajer 6 1 3 2 6
17 Al Jeel 6 0 2 4 2
18 Al Bukayriyah 7 0 2 5 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Al Ula 6 15 2 +13 18
2 Al Wehda Club 7 15 8 +7 11
3 Al Najma 7 10 7 +3 10
4 Al-Adalah 7 10 10 0 9
5 Al Jandal 7 10 10 0 6
6 Al Taee 7 10 15 -5 10
7 Al Zulfi 7 9 1 +8 13
8 Al Akhdoud 7 9 13 -4 7
9 Al-Raed 7 8 10 -2 10
10 Al Jabalain 7 7 5 +2 12
11 Damac 7 7 9 -2 9
12 Al Anwar 7 6 4 +2 10
13 Jeddah Club 7 6 8 -2 8
14 Al Saqer 7 5 6 -1 7
15 Al Orubah 6 4 4 0 7
16 Hajer 6 4 7 -3 6
17 Al Bukayriyah 7 4 13 -9 2
18 Al Jeel 6 0 7 -7 2
Division 1 Saudi-Arabia. Division 1 Predictions