Universitatea Alba Iulia vs CIL Blaj Statistics & Analysis

Universitatea Alba Iulia

Jul 29, 2026 - 14:30

3 1.41

4 1.19

xG Accuracy: 30%

CIL Blaj

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Universitatea Alba Iulia CIL Blaj ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 3-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 28, 2026 · 02:24 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2119635

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result CIL Blaj win · Universitatea Alba Iulia 3–4 CIL Blaj

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Cupa României
Fixture: Universitatea Alba Iulia vs CIL Blaj
Kickoff: 2026-07-29 14:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 40.5% · Draw 29.4% · Away 30.1%
xG (showing): Universitatea Alba Iulia 1.41 — CIL Blaj 1.19 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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