Levski Karlovo vs Levski Krumovgrad Statistics & Analysis

Levski Karlovo

Aug 08, 2026 - 15:00

0 1.34

1 1.26

xG Accuracy: 64%

Levski Krumovgrad

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Levski Karlovo Levski Krumovgrad ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 02, 2026 · 02:21 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2824477

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Levski Krumovgrad win · Levski Karlovo 0–1 Levski Krumovgrad

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Third League - Southeast
Fixture: Levski Karlovo vs Levski Krumovgrad
Kickoff: 2026-08-08 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
xG (showing): Levski Karlovo 1.34 — Levski Krumovgrad 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Third League - Southeast — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Levski Krumovgrad	8	8	0	0	24
2	Spartak Plovdiv	8	7	0	1	21
3	Maritsa Milevo	8	6	0	2	18
4	Sayana Haskovo	8	5	2	1	17
5	Yambol 1915	8	5	1	2	16
6	Sozopol	8	4	1	3	13
7	Gigant Saedinenie	8	4	1	3	13
8	Neftochimic Burgas	8	4	1	3	13
9	Rozova dolina	8	2	5	1	11
10	Rodopa Smolyan	8	3	2	3	11
11	Zagorets	8	3	1	4	10
12	Botev Plovdiv II	8	2	3	3	9
13	Dimitrovgrad	8	2	1	5	7
14	Lokomotiv Plovdiv II	8	2	1	5	7
15	Atletik Kuklen	8	2	0	6	6
16	Sekirovo	8	1	2	5	5
17	Levski Karlovo	8	1	0	7	3
18	Maritsa Plovdiv	8	0	1	7	1

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Levski Krumovgrad	8	26	7	+19	24
2	Yambol 1915	8	24	9	+15	16
3	Spartak Plovdiv	8	20	10	+10	21
4	Maritsa Milevo	8	17	9	+8	18
5	Sozopol	8	17	13	+4	13
6	Gigant Saedinenie	8	17	14	+3	13
7	Sayana Haskovo	8	15	6	+9	17
8	Neftochimic Burgas	8	15	12	+3	13
9	Rodopa Smolyan	8	13	14	-1	11
10	Botev Plovdiv II	8	13	15	-2	9
11	Sekirovo	8	13	24	-11	5
12	Dimitrovgrad	8	12	16	-4	7
13	Rozova dolina	8	11	10	+1	11
14	Zagorets	8	10	15	-5	10
15	Lokomotiv Plovdiv II	8	10	21	-11	7
16	Atletik Kuklen	8	7	19	-12	6
17	Maritsa Plovdiv	8	5	17	-12	1
18	Levski Karlovo	8	5	19	-14	3