Levski Sofia II vs FK Minyor Pernik Statistics & Analysis

Levski Sofia II

Oct 10, 2026 - 13:00

0 1.25

2 1.35

xG Accuracy: 59%

FK Minyor Pernik

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 FK Minyor Pernik FK Minyor Pernik ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:11 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13212208

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result FK Minyor Pernik win · Levski Sofia II 0–2 FK Minyor Pernik

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Third League - Southwest
Fixture: Levski Sofia II vs FK Minyor Pernik
Kickoff: 2026-10-10 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
xG (showing): Levski Sofia II 1.25 — FK Minyor Pernik 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Third League - Southwest — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Oborishte	9	6	3	0	21
2	FK Minyor Pernik	9	6	2	1	20
3	Strumska Slava	9	6	1	2	19
4	Bansko	9	6	1	2	19
5	Botev Ihtiman	9	5	0	4	15
6	Kostinbrod	9	5	0	4	15
7	Septemvri Sofia II	8	4	1	3	13
8	Balkan Botevgrad	9	4	1	4	13
9	Slavia Sofia II	9	4	0	5	12
10	Slivnishki geroy	9	3	2	4	11
11	Belasitsa	9	3	1	5	10
12	CSKA Sofia III	8	1	6	1	9
13	Levski Sofia II	9	2	3	4	9
14	Septemvri Simitli	9	2	3	4	9
15	Kyustendil	9	2	2	5	8
16	Natsional Sofia	9	1	4	4	7
17	Chavdar Etropole	9	2	1	6	7
18	Pirin Razlog	9	2	1	6	7

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Oborishte	9	20	8	+12	21
2	Bansko	9	20	13	+7	19
3	Strumska Slava	9	19	10	+9	19
4	FK Minyor Pernik	9	17	5	+12	20
5	Belasitsa	9	15	18	-3	10
6	Slavia Sofia II	9	14	9	+5	12
7	Botev Ihtiman	9	14	12	+2	15
8	Slivnishki geroy	9	13	16	-3	11
9	Septemvri Simitli	9	12	17	-5	9
10	Septemvri Sofia II	8	11	8	+3	13
11	Kostinbrod	9	11	9	+2	15
12	Natsional Sofia	9	11	16	-5	7
13	Levski Sofia II	9	10	11	-1	9
14	Chavdar Etropole	9	10	22	-12	7
15	Kyustendil	9	8	14	-6	8
16	CSKA Sofia III	8	7	7	0	9
17	Balkan Botevgrad	9	7	9	-2	13
18	Pirin Razlog	9	7	22	-15	7