Statistics / Football / Bulgaria. Third League - Southwest / CSKA Sofia III vs Kostinbrod

CSKA Sofia III vs Kostinbrod Statistics & Analysis

CSKA Sofia III CSKA Sofia III
Oct 03, 2026 - 13:00
1 1.41
0 1.19
xG Accuracy: 64%
Kostinbrod Kostinbrod
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 CSKA Sofia III CSKA Sofia III ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 02:03 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11234358

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result CSKA Sofia III win · CSKA Sofia III 1–0 Kostinbrod
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Third League - Southwest
  • Fixture: CSKA Sofia III vs Kostinbrod
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 40.5% · Draw 29.4% · Away 30.1%
  • xG (showing): CSKA Sofia III 1.41 — Kostinbrod 1.19 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 06, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for CSKA Sofia III & Kostinbrod!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Third League - Southwest Third League - Southwest — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Oborishte 9 6 3 0 21
2 FK Minyor Pernik 9 6 2 1 20
3 Strumska Slava 9 6 1 2 19
4 Bansko 9 6 1 2 19
5 Botev Ihtiman 9 5 0 4 15
6 Kostinbrod 9 5 0 4 15
7 Septemvri Sofia II 8 4 1 3 13
8 Balkan Botevgrad 9 4 1 4 13
9 Slavia Sofia II 9 4 0 5 12
10 Slivnishki geroy 9 3 2 4 11
11 Belasitsa 9 3 1 5 10
12 CSKA Sofia III 8 1 6 1 9
13 Levski Sofia II 9 2 3 4 9
14 Septemvri Simitli 9 2 3 4 9
15 Kyustendil 9 2 2 5 8
16 Natsional Sofia 9 1 4 4 7
17 Chavdar Etropole 9 2 1 6 7
18 Pirin Razlog 9 2 1 6 7
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Oborishte 9 20 8 +12 21
2 Bansko 9 20 13 +7 19
3 Strumska Slava 9 19 10 +9 19
4 FK Minyor Pernik 9 17 5 +12 20
5 Belasitsa 9 15 18 -3 10
6 Slavia Sofia II 9 14 9 +5 12
7 Botev Ihtiman 9 14 12 +2 15
8 Slivnishki geroy 9 13 16 -3 11
9 Septemvri Simitli 9 12 17 -5 9
10 Septemvri Sofia II 8 11 8 +3 13
11 Kostinbrod 9 11 9 +2 15
12 Natsional Sofia 9 11 16 -5 7
13 Levski Sofia II 9 10 11 -1 9
14 Chavdar Etropole 9 10 22 -12 7
15 Kyustendil 9 8 14 -6 8
16 CSKA Sofia III 8 7 7 0 9
17 Balkan Botevgrad 9 7 9 -2 13
18 Pirin Razlog 9 7 22 -15 7
Third League - Southwest Bulgaria. Third League - Southwest Predictions