Statistics / Football / Cyprus. 1. Division / Olympiakos vs Aris

Olympiakos vs Aris Statistics & Analysis

Olympiakos Olympiakos
Oct 11, 2026 - 16:00
1 1.19
2 1.41
xG Accuracy: 81%
Aris Aris
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Aris Aris ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-0 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13230478

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Aris win · Olympiakos 1–2 Aris
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 1. Division
  • Fixture: Olympiakos vs Aris
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 30.1% · Draw 29.4% · Away 40.5%
  • xG (showing): Olympiakos 1.19 — Aris 1.41 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
1. Division 1. Division — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 AEK Larnaca 5 4 0 1 12
2 AEL 5 4 0 1 12
3 Omonia Nicosia 5 3 2 0 11
4 Pafos 5 3 1 1 10
5 Apollon Limassol 5 2 3 0 9
6 Aris 5 2 2 1 8
7 Apoel Nicosia 5 2 1 2 7
8 Omonia Aradippou 5 1 3 1 6
9 Omonia 29is Maiou 5 1 2 2 5
10 Olympiakos 5 0 4 1 4
11 Nea Salamis 5 1 1 3 4
12 Karmiotissa 5 0 3 2 3
13 Anorthosis 5 1 0 4 3
14 Digenis Ypsonas 5 0 0 5 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Apoel Nicosia 5 12 8 +4 7
2 Omonia Nicosia 5 11 2 +9 11
3 AEK Larnaca 5 10 4 +6 12
4 Apollon Limassol 5 10 6 +4 9
5 Omonia 29is Maiou 5 10 9 +1 5
6 Nea Salamis 5 9 11 -2 4
7 AEL 5 8 8 0 12
8 Olympiakos 5 8 9 -1 4
9 Pafos 5 7 3 +4 10
10 Aris 5 6 7 -1 8
11 Omonia Aradippou 5 4 4 0 6
12 Anorthosis 5 4 12 -8 3
13 Karmiotissa 5 3 9 -6 3
14 Digenis Ypsonas 5 3 13 -10 0
1. Division Cyprus. 1. Division Predictions