Statistics / Football / Cyprus. 1. Division / Karmiotissa vs Omonia Nicosia

Karmiotissa vs Omonia Nicosia Statistics & Analysis

Karmiotissa Karmiotissa
Oct 09, 2026 - 16:00
0 1.00
3 1.60
xG Accuracy: 52%
Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 0-1, 1-1, 0-2, 1-2, 0-0 0-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 01:52 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12694335

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Omonia Nicosia win · Karmiotissa 0–3 Omonia Nicosia
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 1. Division
  • Fixture: Karmiotissa vs Omonia Nicosia
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-09 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 22.1% · Draw 28.1% · Away 49.8%
  • xG (showing): Karmiotissa 1.0 — Omonia Nicosia 1.6 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.0% · No 48.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 52.0% · No 48.0%
  • Correct score (top bin): 0-1 (11.9%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
1. Division 1. Division — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 AEK Larnaca 4 3 0 1 9
2 AEL 4 3 0 1 9
3 Omonia Nicosia 4 2 2 0 8
4 Pafos 4 2 1 1 7
5 Apollon Limassol 4 1 3 0 6
6 Omonia Aradippou 4 1 3 0 6
7 Omonia 29is Maiou 4 1 2 1 5
8 Aris 4 1 2 1 5
9 Apoel Nicosia 4 1 1 2 4
10 Olympiakos 4 0 4 0 4
11 Nea Salamis 4 1 1 2 4
12 Karmiotissa 4 0 3 1 3
13 Anorthosis 4 1 0 3 3
14 Digenis Ypsonas 4 0 0 4 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Apoel Nicosia 4 10 7 +3 4
2 AEK Larnaca 4 9 4 +5 9
3 Omonia 29is Maiou 4 9 7 +2 5
4 Omonia Nicosia 4 8 2 +6 8
5 Nea Salamis 4 8 9 -1 4
6 Apollon Limassol 4 7 5 +2 6
7 Olympiakos 4 7 7 0 4
8 AEL 4 6 7 -1 9
9 Pafos 4 4 2 +2 7
10 Omonia Aradippou 4 4 3 +1 6
11 Aris 4 4 6 -2 5
12 Karmiotissa 4 3 6 -3 3
13 Anorthosis 4 3 9 -6 3
14 Digenis Ypsonas 4 2 10 -8 0
1. Division Cyprus. 1. Division Predictions