Statistics / Football / Cyprus. 1. Division / Olympiakos vs Omonia 29is Maiou

Olympiakos vs Omonia 29is Maiou Statistics & Analysis

Olympiakos Olympiakos
Sep 13, 2026 - 17:00
3 1.45
3 1.15
xG Accuracy: 39%
Omonia 29is Maiou Omonia 29is Maiou
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Olympiakos Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 3-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 02:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7455310

Closing Odds 1.81
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Draw · Olympiakos 3–3 Omonia 29is Maiou
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

The largest late implied swing on this feed was about 0.57 percentage points on Olympiakos (1X2) between PRE30 and PRE1.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Omonia 29is Maiou (1X2) by about 7.0 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market Model % Closing impl. % Gap (pp)
Olympiakos (1X2) 42.4 51.3 -8.9
Draw (1X2) 29.2 27.2 +2.0
Omonia 29is Maiou (1X2) 28.4 21.4 +7.0
Over 2.5 goals 48.2 44.2 +4.0
Under 2.5 goals 51.8 55.8 -4.0
What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 28.4% on Omonia 29is Maiou (1X2), while the closing snapshot implied about 21.4%. The difference — about 7.0 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Market Early (PRE30) Closing (PRE1) Implied Δ (pp)
Olympiakos (1X2) 1.83 1.81 +0.6
Draw (1X2) 3.37 3.41 -0.3
Omonia 29is Maiou (1X2) 4.28 4.33 -0.2
Over 2.5 goals 2.14 2.13 +0.1
Under 2.5 goals 1.69 1.69 -0.1

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 1. Division
  • Fixture: Olympiakos vs Omonia 29is Maiou
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-13 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 42.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away 28.4%
  • xG (showing): Olympiakos 1.45 — Omonia 29is Maiou 1.15 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 53.9% · Implied: 47.6% · Probability edge: +6.3 pts · Est. EV: +7.8%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Olympiakos & Omonia 29is Maiou!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
1. Division 1. Division — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 AEK Larnaca 4 3 0 1 9
2 AEL 4 3 0 1 9
3 Omonia Nicosia 4 2 2 0 8
4 Pafos 4 2 1 1 7
5 Apollon Limassol 4 1 3 0 6
6 Omonia Aradippou 4 1 3 0 6
7 Omonia 29is Maiou 4 1 2 1 5
8 Aris 4 1 2 1 5
9 Apoel Nicosia 4 1 1 2 4
10 Olympiakos 4 0 4 0 4
11 Nea Salamis 4 1 1 2 4
12 Karmiotissa 4 0 3 1 3
13 Anorthosis 4 1 0 3 3
14 Digenis Ypsonas 4 0 0 4 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Apoel Nicosia 4 10 7 +3 4
2 AEK Larnaca 4 9 4 +5 9
3 Omonia 29is Maiou 4 9 7 +2 5
4 Omonia Nicosia 4 8 2 +6 8
5 Nea Salamis 4 8 9 -1 4
6 Apollon Limassol 4 7 5 +2 6
7 Olympiakos 4 7 7 0 4
8 AEL 4 6 7 -1 9
9 Pafos 4 4 2 +2 7
10 Omonia Aradippou 4 4 3 +1 6
11 Aris 4 4 6 -2 5
12 Karmiotissa 4 3 6 -3 3
13 Anorthosis 4 3 9 -6 3
14 Digenis Ypsonas 4 2 10 -8 0