Statistics / Football / Mexico. Liga MX Femenil / Necaxa W vs Cruz Azul W

Necaxa W vs Cruz Azul W Statistics & Analysis

Necaxa W Necaxa W
Oct 04, 2026 - 03:10
0 0.98
2 1.62
xG Accuracy: 69%
Cruz Azul W Cruz Azul W
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Cruz Azul W Cruz Azul W ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 0-1, 1-1, 0-2, 1-2, 0-0 0-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 06:36 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11725968

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Cruz Azul W win · Necaxa W 0–2 Cruz Azul W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Liga MX Femenil
  • Fixture: Necaxa W vs Cruz Azul W
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 03:10:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 21.3% · Draw 27.9% · Away 50.8%
  • xG (showing): Necaxa W 0.98 — Cruz Azul W 1.62 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +1.2%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 51.6% · No 48.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 51.6% · No 48.4%
  • Correct score (top bin): 0-1 (12.0%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 06, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga MX Femenil Liga MX Femenil — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 27
2 América W 10 8 1 1 25
3 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 25
4 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 22
5 Guadalajara W 10 7 0 3 21
6 Juárez W 10 7 0 3 21
7 Atlético San Luis W 10 6 1 3 19
8 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 15
9 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 15
10 Pumas UNAM W 10 4 1 5 13
11 León W 9 4 0 5 12
12 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 12
13 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 10
14 Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 9
15 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 7
16 Querétaro W 10 2 0 8 6
17 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 3
18 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 América W 10 45 11 +34 25
2 Monterrey W 10 39 13 +26 27
3 Tigres UANL W 10 32 10 +22 25
4 Toluca W 10 25 16 +9 22
5 Atlético San Luis W 10 23 16 +7 19
6 Guadalajara W 10 21 11 +10 21
7 Pumas UNAM W 10 18 17 +1 13
8 León W 9 15 17 -2 12
9 Juárez W 10 14 7 +7 21
10 Pachuca W 10 14 15 -1 10
11 Santos Laguna W 10 13 20 -7 15
12 Cruz Azul W 10 13 21 -8 15
13 Tijuana W 10 13 24 -11 9
14 Puebla W 10 13 39 -26 3
15 Atlas W 9 10 17 -7 12
16 Querétaro W 10 10 22 -12 6
17 Atlante W 10 6 13 -7 7
18 Necaxa W 10 3 38 -35 0
Liga MX Femenil Mexico. Liga MX Femenil Predictions