Statistics / Football / Mexico. Liga MX Femenil / Atlante W vs Necaxa W

Atlante W vs Necaxa W Statistics & Analysis

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Atlante W
Aug 03, 2026 - 21:45
1 1.56
0 1.04
xG Accuracy: 64%
Necaxa W Necaxa W
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Atlante W Atlante W ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 28, 2026 · 03:35 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2133154

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Atlante W win · Atlante W 1–0 Necaxa W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Liga MX Femenil
  • Fixture: Atlante W vs Necaxa W
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-03 21:45:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 47.8% · Draw 28.5% · Away 23.7%
  • xG (showing): Atlante W 1.56 — Necaxa W 1.04 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.6% · No 47.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 52.6% · No 47.4%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.1%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga MX Femenil Liga MX Femenil — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Monterrey W 9 8 0 1 24
2 América W 8 7 1 0 22
3 Tigres UANL W 9 7 1 1 22
4 Juárez W 9 7 0 2 21
5 Guadalajara W 9 6 0 3 18
6 Atlético San Luis W 9 5 1 3 16
7 Toluca W 8 5 1 2 16
8 Pumas UNAM W 9 4 1 4 13
9 León W 8 4 0 4 12
10 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 12
11 Santos Laguna W 9 4 0 5 12
12 Cruz Azul W 9 4 0 5 12
13 Pachuca W 9 3 1 5 10
14 Atlante W 9 2 1 6 7
15 Querétaro W 9 2 0 7 6
16 Tijuana W 9 2 0 7 6
17 Puebla W 9 1 0 8 3
18 Necaxa W 8 0 0 8 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 América W 8 37 7 +30 22
2 Monterrey W 9 35 10 +25 24
3 Tigres UANL W 9 29 9 +20 22
4 Atlético San Luis W 9 22 16 +6 16
5 Guadalajara W 9 20 11 +9 18
6 Toluca W 8 19 15 +4 16
7 Pumas UNAM W 9 17 14 +3 13
8 León W 8 15 12 +3 12
9 Juárez W 9 14 6 +8 21
10 Pachuca W 9 13 13 0 10
11 Puebla W 9 13 38 -25 3
12 Santos Laguna W 9 12 20 -8 12
13 Tijuana W 9 12 24 -12 6
14 Cruz Azul W 9 11 21 -10 12
15 Atlas W 9 10 17 -7 12
16 Querétaro W 9 10 21 -11 6
17 Atlante W 9 6 12 -6 7
18 Necaxa W 8 3 32 -29 0
Liga MX Femenil Mexico. Liga MX Femenil Predictions