Statistics / Football / Saudi-Arabia. Pro League / Al-Hazm vs NEOM

Al-Hazm vs NEOM Statistics & Analysis

Al-Hazm Al-Hazm
Oct 10, 2026 - 13:50
1 0.99
1 1.46
xG Accuracy: 88%
NEOM NEOM
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 NEOM Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 0-1, 1-1, 0-2, 1-2, 0-0 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:37 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13221071

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Al-Hazm 1–1 NEOM
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Pro League
  • Fixture: Al-Hazm vs NEOM
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 13:50:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 22.5% · Draw 27.7% · Away 49.8%
  • xG (showing): Al-Hazm 0.99 — NEOM 1.46 (total xG ≈ 2.45)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 55.7% · Implied: 47.3% · Probability edge: +8.4 pts · Est. EV: +13.1%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Pro League Pro League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC 7 6 0 1 18
2 Al-Ittihad FC 7 5 2 0 17
3 Al-Nassr 7 5 1 1 16
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC 7 5 1 1 16
5 NEOM 7 5 0 2 15
6 Al-Ahli Jeddah 7 4 0 3 12
7 Al Kholood 7 3 3 1 12
8 Al Diriyah 7 3 2 2 11
9 Al-Ettifaq 7 3 2 2 11
10 Al-Hazm 7 2 2 3 8
11 Al Riyadh 7 2 2 3 8
12 Al-Fayha 7 1 3 3 6
13 Al Khaleej Saihat 7 0 5 2 5
14 Al Shabab 7 0 4 3 4
15 Al-Fateh 7 0 3 4 3
16 Al-Faisaly FC 7 0 3 4 3
17 Al Taawon 7 0 3 4 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC 7 23 5 +18 18
2 Al-Nassr 7 16 7 +9 16
3 Al-Qadisiyah FC 7 16 8 +8 16
4 Al-Ahli Jeddah 7 16 10 +6 12
5 NEOM 7 13 6 +7 15
6 Al-Ittihad FC 7 12 6 +6 17
7 Al Kholood 7 12 10 +2 12
8 Al-Ettifaq 7 11 11 0 11
9 Al Riyadh 7 8 16 -8 8
10 Al Diriyah 7 7 5 +2 11
11 Al-Hazm 7 7 9 -2 8
12 Al-Fayha 7 7 11 -4 6
13 Al Shabab 7 6 11 -5 4
14 Al-Faisaly FC 7 5 13 -8 3
15 Abha 7 5 13 -8 2
16 Al-Fateh 7 4 11 -7 3
17 Al Khaleej Saihat 7 3 10 -7 5
18 Al Taawon 7 3 12 -9 3
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC 7 16.0 6.1 +9.9 18
2 Al-Qadisiyah FC 7 14.3 6.1 +8.2 16
3 Al-Nassr 7 11.7 3.8 +7.9 16
4 Al-Ahli Jeddah 7 6.4 2.9 +3.5 12
5 Al Kholood 7 13.4 12.5 +0.9 12
6 NEOM 7 7.6 6.8 +0.8 15
7 Al-Ittihad FC 7 9.3 8.7 +0.6 17
8 Al Taawon 7 5.8 5.4 +0.4 3
9 Al-Ettifaq 7 8.4 8.4 0.0 11
10 Al Shabab 7 6.8 7.6 -0.8 4
11 Al Diriyah 7 4.5 6.2 -1.7 11
12 Al Khaleej Saihat 7 6.9 8.9 -2.0 5
13 Al-Hazm 7 4.0 7.6 -3.6 8
14 Abha 7 4.4 8.2 -3.8 2
15 Al-Fateh 7 4.9 9.1 -4.2 3
16 Al Riyadh 7 3.4 8.5 -5.1 8
17 Al-Faisaly FC 7 4.5 9.7 -5.2 3
18 Al-Fayha 7 5.0 10.8 -5.8 6
Pro League Saudi-Arabia. Pro League Predictions