Basake Holy Stars vs Berekum Chelsea Statistics & Analysis

Basake Holy Stars

Oct 04, 2026 - 15:00

1 1.26

0 1.34

xG Accuracy: 64%

Berekum Chelsea

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Berekum Chelsea Basake Holy Stars ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 02:05 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11679340

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Basake Holy Stars win · Basake Holy Stars 1–0 Berekum Chelsea

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Premier League
Fixture: Basake Holy Stars vs Berekum Chelsea
Kickoff: 2026-10-04 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
xG (showing): Basake Holy Stars 1.26 — Berekum Chelsea 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Premier League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Medeama	5	3	2	0	11
2	Samartex	5	3	2	0	11
3	Port City	5	3	1	1	10
4	Aduana Stars	5	3	1	1	10
5	Basake Holy Stars	5	3	0	2	9
6	Hearts of Oak	5	2	2	1	8
7	Heart of Lions	5	2	2	1	8
8	Asante Kotoko	5	2	2	1	8
9	Ashanti Gold	5	2	1	2	7
10	Bechem United	5	2	1	2	7
11	Karela	5	2	0	3	6
12	Vision	5	1	3	1	6
13	Swedru All Blacks	5	1	2	2	5
14	Debibi United	5	1	1	3	4
15	Bibiani Gold Stars	5	1	1	3	4
16	Berekum Chelsea	5	1	1	3	4
17	Young Apostles	5	1	0	4	3
18	Dreams	5	0	2	3	2

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Medeama	5	9	4	+5	11
2	Port City	5	8	4	+4	10
3	Ashanti Gold	5	8	7	+1	7
4	Samartex	5	7	3	+4	11
5	Hearts of Oak	5	6	2	+4	8
6	Aduana Stars	5	6	3	+3	10
7	Heart of Lions	5	6	5	+1	8
8	Vision	5	6	5	+1	6
9	Asante Kotoko	5	6	6	0	8
10	Debibi United	5	6	6	0	4
11	Karela	5	6	7	-1	6
12	Berekum Chelsea	5	5	9	-4	4
13	Dreams	5	5	9	-4	2
14	Basake Holy Stars	5	4	5	-1	9
15	Bechem United	5	4	6	-2	7
16	Bibiani Gold Stars	5	4	7	-3	4
17	Swedru All Blacks	5	3	4	-1	5
18	Young Apostles	5	2	9	-7	3