Swedru All Blacks vs Samartex Statistics & Analysis

Swedru All Blacks

Sep 27, 2026 - 15:00

1 1.35

1 1.25

xG Accuracy: 85%

Samartex

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Swedru All Blacks Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 02:00 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10103498

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Swedru All Blacks 1–1 Samartex

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Premier League
Fixture: Swedru All Blacks vs Samartex
Kickoff: 2026-09-27 15:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
xG (showing): Swedru All Blacks 1.35 — Samartex 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
Model: 54.5% · Implied: 40.8% · Probability edge: +13.7 pts · Est. EV: +25.4%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Premier League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Hearts of Oak	4	2	1	1	7
2	Samartex	3	2	1	0	7
3	Basake Holy Stars	3	2	0	1	6
4	Karela	4	2	0	2	6
5	Asante Kotoko	3	1	2	0	5
6	Debibi United	3	1	1	1	4
7	Vision	3	1	1	1	4
8	Ashanti Gold	3	1	1	1	4
9	Port City	2	1	1	0	4
10	Aduana Stars	3	1	1	1	4
11	Swedru All Blacks	3	1	1	1	4
12	Bechem United	3	1	1	1	4
13	Bibiani Gold Stars	3	1	0	2	3
14	Berekum Chelsea	3	1	0	2	3
15	Young Apostles	3	1	0	2	3
16	Medeama	2	0	2	0	2
17	Heart of Lions	3	0	2	1	2
18	Dreams	3	0	1	2	1

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Hearts of Oak	4	6	2	+4	7
2	Karela	4	6	6	0	6
3	Samartex	3	5	2	+3	7
4	Debibi United	3	5	3	+2	4
5	Asante Kotoko	3	5	4	+1	5
6	Vision	3	5	4	+1	4
7	Dreams	3	5	8	-3	1
8	Ashanti Gold	3	4	3	+1	4
9	Bibiani Gold Stars	3	4	5	-1	3
10	Berekum Chelsea	3	4	7	-3	3
11	Port City	2	3	2	+1	4
12	Medeama	2	3	3	0	2
13	Basake Holy Stars	3	2	1	+1	6
14	Aduana Stars	3	2	2	0	4
15	Bechem United	3	2	3	-1	4
16	Swedru All Blacks	3	1	1	0	4
17	Heart of Lions	3	1	2	-1	2
18	Young Apostles	3	1	6	-5	3