Statistics / Football / Ghana. Premier League / Karela vs Hearts of Oak

Karela vs Hearts of Oak Statistics & Analysis

Karela Karela
Sep 26, 2026 - 15:00
1 1.20
0 1.40
xG Accuracy: 64%
Hearts of Oak Hearts of Oak
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Hearts of Oak Karela ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 02:00 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10103389

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Karela win · Karela 1–0 Hearts of Oak
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Premier League
  • Fixture: Karela vs Hearts of Oak
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-27 15:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 30.6% · Draw 29.5% · Away 40.0%
  • xG (showing): Karela 1.2 — Hearts of Oak 1.4 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 48.2% · Implied: 50.0% · Probability edge: -1.8 pts · Est. EV: +32.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Premier League Premier League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Samartex 4 2 2 0 8
2 Hearts of Oak 4 2 1 1 7
3 Port City 3 2 1 0 7
4 Ashanti Gold 4 2 1 1 7
5 Aduana Stars 4 2 1 1 7
6 Bechem United 4 2 1 1 7
7 Karela 4 2 0 2 6
8 Basake Holy Stars 4 2 0 2 6
9 Medeama 3 1 2 0 5
10 Vision 4 1 2 1 5
11 Heart of Lions 4 1 2 1 5
12 Swedru All Blacks 4 1 2 1 5
13 Asante Kotoko 4 1 2 1 5
14 Debibi United 4 1 1 2 4
15 Berekum Chelsea 4 1 1 2 4
16 Bibiani Gold Stars 4 1 0 3 3
17 Young Apostles 4 1 0 3 3
18 Dreams 4 0 1 3 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Medeama 3 7 4 +3 5
2 Hearts of Oak 4 6 2 +4 7
3 Samartex 4 6 3 +3 8
4 Ashanti Gold 4 6 4 +2 7
5 Vision 4 6 5 +1 5
6 Debibi United 4 6 5 +1 4
7 Karela 4 6 6 0 6
8 Port City 3 5 2 +3 7
9 Asante Kotoko 4 5 6 -1 5
10 Berekum Chelsea 4 5 8 -3 4
11 Dreams 4 5 9 -4 1
12 Aduana Stars 4 4 2 +2 7
13 Bibiani Gold Stars 4 4 7 -3 3
14 Bechem United 4 3 3 0 7
15 Heart of Lions 4 3 3 0 5
16 Basake Holy Stars 4 3 5 -2 6
17 Swedru All Blacks 4 2 2 0 5
18 Young Apostles 4 2 8 -6 3
Premier League Ghana. Premier League Predictions