Dreams vs Bibiani Gold Stars Statistics & Analysis

Dreams

Sep 20, 2026 - 15:00

2 1.43

3 1.17

xG Accuracy: 52%

Bibiani Gold Stars

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Dreams Bibiani Gold Stars ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 2-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:52 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8698838

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Bibiani Gold Stars win · Dreams 2–3 Bibiani Gold Stars

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Premier League
Fixture: Dreams vs Bibiani Gold Stars
Kickoff: 2026-09-19 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.4% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.3%
xG (showing): Dreams 1.43 — Bibiani Gold Stars 1.17 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Premier League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Hearts of Oak	4	2	1	1	7
2	Samartex	3	2	1	0	7
3	Basake Holy Stars	3	2	0	1	6
4	Karela	4	2	0	2	6
5	Asante Kotoko	3	1	2	0	5
6	Debibi United	3	1	1	1	4
7	Vision	3	1	1	1	4
8	Ashanti Gold	3	1	1	1	4
9	Port City	2	1	1	0	4
10	Aduana Stars	3	1	1	1	4
11	Swedru All Blacks	3	1	1	1	4
12	Bechem United	3	1	1	1	4
13	Bibiani Gold Stars	3	1	0	2	3
14	Berekum Chelsea	3	1	0	2	3
15	Young Apostles	3	1	0	2	3
16	Medeama	2	0	2	0	2
17	Heart of Lions	3	0	2	1	2
18	Dreams	3	0	1	2	1

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Hearts of Oak	4	6	2	+4	7
2	Karela	4	6	6	0	6
3	Samartex	3	5	2	+3	7
4	Debibi United	3	5	3	+2	4
5	Asante Kotoko	3	5	4	+1	5
6	Vision	3	5	4	+1	4
7	Dreams	3	5	8	-3	1
8	Ashanti Gold	3	4	3	+1	4
9	Bibiani Gold Stars	3	4	5	-1	3
10	Berekum Chelsea	3	4	7	-3	3
11	Port City	2	3	2	+1	4
12	Medeama	2	3	3	0	2
13	Basake Holy Stars	3	2	1	+1	6
14	Aduana Stars	3	2	2	0	4
15	Bechem United	3	2	3	-1	4
16	Swedru All Blacks	3	1	1	0	4
17	Heart of Lions	3	1	2	-1	2
18	Young Apostles	3	1	6	-5	3