Taguatinga EC vs Canaa EC Statistics & Analysis

Taguatinga EC

Sep 06, 2026 - 18:30

1 1.42

0 1.18

xG Accuracy: 64%

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Canaa EC

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Taguatinga EC Taguatinga EC ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 31, 2026 · 08:15 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6372369

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Taguatinga EC win · Taguatinga EC 1–0 Canaa EC

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Brasiliense B
Fixture: Taguatinga EC vs Canaa EC
Kickoff: 2026-09-06 18:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.0% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.6%
xG (showing): Taguatinga EC 1.42 — Canaa EC 1.18 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Brasiliense B — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Taguatinga EC	3	3	0	0	9
2	GREVAL	4	1	2	1	5
3	Legião	3	1	2	0	5
4	Planaltina DF	4	1	1	2	4
5	Canaa EC	3	1	1	1	4
6	Luziânia	3	1	1	1	4
7	Candango	4	0	1	3	1

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	GREVAL	4	8	4	+4	5
2	Taguatinga EC	3	7	0	+7	9
3	Planaltina DF	4	4	4	0	4
4	Legião	3	3	1	+2	5
5	Canaa EC	3	2	2	0	4
6	Luziânia	3	2	7	-5	4
7	Candango	4	1	9	-8	1