Statistics / Football / Italy. Serie B / Pisa vs Cremonese

Pisa vs Cremonese Statistics & Analysis

Pisa Pisa
Oct 17, 2026 - 17:30
3 1.47
1 0.88
xG Accuracy: 64%
Cremonese Cremonese
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Pisa Pisa ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 0-0, 2-1 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 12, 2026 · 04:31 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-15180865

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Pisa win · Pisa 3–1 Cremonese
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Serie B
  • Fixture: Pisa vs Cremonese
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-17 17:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 49.3% · Draw 29.7% · Away 20.9%
  • xG (showing): Pisa 1.47 — Cremonese 0.88 (total xG ≈ 2.35)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS No
  • Model: 53.3% · Implied: 48.7% · Probability edge: +4.6 pts · Est. EV: +5.5%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 46.7% · No 53.3%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-0 (14.0%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 18, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Serie B Serie B — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Palermo 7 6 1 0 19
2 Mantova 7 4 2 1 14
3 Pisa 7 4 1 2 13
4 Modena 7 4 1 2 13
5 Sudtirol 6 3 3 0 12
6 Ascoli 7 3 3 1 12
7 Benevento 7 3 2 2 11
8 Avellino 6 3 1 2 10
9 Virtus Entella 7 2 3 2 9
10 Verona 7 2 2 3 8
11 Cesena 6 1 4 1 7
12 Carrarese 7 2 1 4 7
13 Empoli 7 2 1 4 7
14 Padova 7 2 1 4 7
15 Arezzo 6 2 1 3 7
16 Cremonese 7 1 3 3 6
17 Vicenza Virtus 7 1 3 3 6
18 Sampdoria 6 1 1 4 4
19 Catanzaro 7 1 1 5 4
20 Juve Stabia 6 1 3 2 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Palermo 7 16 7 +9 19
2 Pisa 7 14 9 +5 13
3 Verona 7 14 12 +2 8
4 Mantova 7 13 8 +5 14
5 Modena 7 12 8 +4 13
6 Avellino 6 11 7 +4 10
7 Benevento 7 10 7 +3 11
8 Virtus Entella 7 10 8 +2 9
9 Sudtirol 6 9 3 +6 12
10 Vicenza Virtus 7 9 15 -6 6
11 Ascoli 7 8 5 +3 12
12 Catanzaro 7 8 14 -6 4
13 Cesena 6 7 8 -1 7
14 Empoli 7 7 11 -4 7
15 Carrarese 7 6 7 -1 7
16 Padova 7 6 10 -4 7
17 Cremonese 7 6 10 -4 6
18 Arezzo 6 6 13 -7 7
19 Sampdoria 6 6 13 -7 4
20 Juve Stabia 6 5 8 -3 2
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Pisa 7 8.8 3.3 +5.5 13
2 Palermo 7 10.0 6.2 +3.8 19
3 Benevento 7 6.3 2.8 +3.5 11
4 Verona 7 8.8 5.7 +3.1 8
5 Mantova 7 7.5 5.5 +2.0 14
6 Carrarese 7 6.1 4.5 +1.6 7
7 Modena 7 6.6 5.1 +1.5 13
8 Virtus Entella 7 4.2 3.2 +1.0 9
9 Arezzo 6 3.6 2.9 +0.7 7
10 Cesena 6 3.5 3.7 -0.2 7
11 Avellino 6 4.8 5.1 -0.3 10
12 Juve Stabia 6 3.1 3.7 -0.6 2
13 Sudtirol 6 2.7 3.5 -0.8 12
14 Sampdoria 6 2.9 4.6 -1.7 4
15 Ascoli 7 5.1 6.9 -1.8 12
16 Vicenza Virtus 7 4.8 7.9 -3.1 6
17 Padova 7 3.5 6.7 -3.2 7
18 Catanzaro 7 5.0 8.5 -3.5 4
19 Empoli 7 4.3 8.0 -3.7 7
20 Cremonese 7 1.4 5.2 -3.8 6
Serie B Italy. Serie B Predictions