Statistics / Football / Italy. Serie B / Sudtirol vs Ascoli

Sudtirol vs Ascoli Statistics & Analysis

Sudtirol Sudtirol
Oct 10, 2026 - 13:00
0 1.19
0 1.32
xG Accuracy: 50%
Ascoli Ascoli
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Ascoli Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-0 0-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13211806

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Sudtirol 0–0 Ascoli
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Serie B
  • Fixture: Sudtirol vs Ascoli
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.8% · Draw 30.2% · Away 38.0%
  • xG (showing): Sudtirol 1.19 — Ascoli 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.51)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS No
  • Model: 47.3% · Implied: 45.3% · Probability edge: +2.0 pts · Est. EV: +4.1%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Serie B Serie B — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Palermo 5 4 1 0 13
2 Sudtirol 5 3 2 0 11
3 Mantova 5 3 2 0 11
4 Modena 5 3 1 1 10
5 Ascoli 5 3 1 1 10
6 Padova 5 2 1 2 7
7 Benevento 5 2 1 2 7
8 Verona 5 2 1 2 7
9 Avellino 5 2 1 2 7
10 Cesena 5 1 4 0 7
11 Pisa 5 2 1 2 7
12 Arezzo 5 2 0 3 6
13 Empoli 5 2 0 3 6
14 Virtus Entella 5 1 2 2 5
15 Cremonese 5 1 2 2 5
16 Vicenza Virtus 5 1 2 2 5
17 Sampdoria 5 1 1 3 4
18 Juve Stabia 5 1 2 2 3
19 Catanzaro 5 1 0 4 3
20 Carrarese 5 0 1 4 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Palermo 5 10 5 +5 13
2 Mantova 5 10 5 +5 11
3 Verona 5 10 7 +3 7
4 Sudtirol 5 9 3 +6 11
5 Modena 5 8 4 +4 10
6 Pisa 5 8 8 0 7
7 Ascoli 5 7 4 +3 10
8 Avellino 5 7 6 +1 7
9 Cesena 5 7 6 +1 7
10 Virtus Entella 5 7 6 +1 5
11 Vicenza Virtus 5 7 10 -3 5
12 Benevento 5 6 5 +1 7
13 Arezzo 5 6 13 -7 6
14 Padova 5 5 6 -1 7
15 Cremonese 5 5 7 -2 5
16 Sampdoria 5 5 9 -4 4
17 Catanzaro 5 5 9 -4 3
18 Empoli 5 4 6 -2 6
19 Juve Stabia 5 4 7 -3 3
20 Carrarese 5 2 6 -4 1
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Palermo 5 8.0 4.3 +3.7 13
2 Pisa 5 6.5 2.8 +3.7 7
3 Benevento 5 4.3 1.6 +2.7 7
4 Verona 5 4.8 2.2 +2.6 7
5 Modena 5 3.2 1.3 +1.9 10
6 Arezzo 5 3.6 2.9 +0.7 6
7 Mantova 5 2.9 2.6 +0.3 11
8 Virtus Entella 5 2.5 2.5 0.0 5
9 Carrarese 5 2.7 2.8 -0.1 1
10 Avellino 5 4.8 5.0 -0.2 7
11 Cesena 5 3.5 3.7 -0.2 7
12 Juve Stabia 5 3.1 3.7 -0.6 3
13 Sudtirol 5 2.7 3.5 -0.8 11
14 Catanzaro 5 2.8 3.8 -1.0 3
15 Padova 5 2.0 3.3 -1.3 7
16 Sampdoria 5 2.8 4.7 -1.9 4
17 Cremonese 5 0.8 2.8 -2.0 5
18 Vicenza Virtus 5 3.5 6.0 -2.5 5
19 Ascoli 5 3.5 6.1 -2.6 10
20 Empoli 5 3.5 6.4 -2.9 6
Serie B Italy. Serie B Predictions