CS Uruguay vs Aserri FC Statistics & Analysis

CS Uruguay

Sep 12, 2026 - 20:00

0 1.42

1 1.18

xG Accuracy: 64%

Aserri FC

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 CS Uruguay Aserri FC ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 02:22 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7459920

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Aserri FC win · CS Uruguay 0–1 Aserri FC

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Liga de Ascenso
Fixture: CS Uruguay vs Aserri FC
Kickoff: 2026-09-12 20:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.0% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.6%
xG (showing): CS Uruguay 1.42 — Aserri FC 1.18 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Liga de Ascenso — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Aserri FC	16	7	3	6	24
2	ADR Jicaral	8	5	3	0	18
3	Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC	9	5	3	1	18
4	Quepos Cambute	8	5	1	2	16
5	Santa Ana	8	5	0	3	15
6	AD Carmelita	9	3	3	3	12
7	Cariari Pococi	7	3	3	1	12
8	Municipal Grecia	7	3	2	2	11
9	AD Sarchí	8	3	2	3	11
10	Futbol Consultants Moravia	9	3	1	5	10
11	CS Uruguay	8	2	1	5	7
12	Santa Cruz FC	8	2	0	6	6
13	Guadalupe FC	9	1	3	5	6
14	AD Cofutpa	8	1	1	6	4

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Aserri FC	16	18	18	0	24
2	Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC	9	16	11	+5	18
3	AD Carmelita	9	16	11	+5	12
4	Quepos Cambute	8	13	6	+7	16
5	ADR Jicaral	8	12	4	+8	18
6	Futbol Consultants Moravia	9	12	10	+2	10
7	Santa Ana	8	11	9	+2	15
8	Santa Cruz FC	8	11	18	-7	6
9	Guadalupe FC	9	10	17	-7	6
10	Cariari Pococi	7	9	7	+2	12
11	Municipal Grecia	7	8	6	+2	11
12	AD Sarchí	8	8	11	-3	11
13	AD Cofutpa	8	7	14	-7	4
14	CS Uruguay	8	6	15	-9	7