Statistics / Football / Costa-Rica. Liga de Ascenso / Aserri FC vs AD Cofutpa

Aserri FC vs AD Cofutpa Statistics & Analysis

Aserri FC Aserri FC
Sep 12, 2026 - 23:00
2 1.27
1 1.33
xG Accuracy: 75%
AD Cofutpa AD Cofutpa
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 AD Cofutpa Aserri FC ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 02:22 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7459847

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Aserri FC win · Aserri FC 2–1 AD Cofutpa
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Liga de Ascenso
  • Fixture: Aserri FC vs AD Cofutpa
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-13 20:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
  • xG (showing): Aserri FC 1.27 — AD Cofutpa 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 43.2% · Probability edge: +8.6 pts · Est. EV: +14.0%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga de Ascenso Liga de Ascenso — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Aserri FC 16 7 3 6 24
2 ADR Jicaral 8 5 3 0 18
3 Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC 9 5 3 1 18
4 Quepos Cambute 8 5 1 2 16
5 Santa Ana 8 5 0 3 15
6 Cariari Pococi 8 3 4 1 13
7 AD Carmelita 9 3 3 3 12
8 Municipal Grecia 7 3 2 2 11
9 AD Sarchí 8 3 2 3 11
10 Futbol Consultants Moravia 9 3 1 5 10
11 CS Uruguay 9 2 2 5 8
12 Santa Cruz FC 8 2 0 6 6
13 Guadalupe FC 9 1 3 5 6
14 AD Cofutpa 8 1 1 6 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Aserri FC 16 18 18 0 24
2 Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC 9 16 11 +5 18
3 AD Carmelita 9 16 11 +5 12
4 Quepos Cambute 8 13 6 +7 16
5 ADR Jicaral 8 12 4 +8 18
6 Futbol Consultants Moravia 9 12 10 +2 10
7 Santa Ana 8 11 9 +2 15
8 Santa Cruz FC 8 11 18 -7 6
9 Cariari Pococi 8 10 8 +2 13
10 Guadalupe FC 9 10 17 -7 6
11 Municipal Grecia 7 8 6 +2 11
12 AD Sarchí 8 8 11 -3 11
13 AD Cofutpa 8 7 14 -7 4
14 CS Uruguay 9 7 16 -9 8
Liga de Ascenso Costa-Rica. Liga de Ascenso Predictions