Statistics / Football / Italy. Serie A Women / Roma W vs Lazio W

Roma W vs Lazio W Statistics & Analysis

Roma W Roma W
Oct 03, 2026 - 16:00
3 1.40
1 1.20
xG Accuracy: 61%
Lazio W Lazio W
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Roma W Roma W ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:26 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11254577

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Roma W win · Roma W 3–1 Lazio W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Serie A Women
  • Fixture: Roma W vs Lazio W
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 40.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 30.6%
  • xG (showing): Roma W 1.4 — Lazio W 1.2 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Serie A Women Serie A Women — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Roma W 2 2 0 0 6
2 Como 1907 W 1 1 0 0 3
3 Juventus W 1 1 0 0 3
4 Inter Milano W 1 1 0 0 3
5 Como W 1 1 0 0 3
6 Ternana W 2 1 0 1 3
7 Fiorentina W 2 1 0 1 3
8 Parma W 2 0 1 1 1
9 Lazio W 2 0 1 1 1
10 Napoli W 1 0 0 1 0
11 AC Milan W 1 0 0 1 0
12 Sassuolo W 2 0 0 2 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Roma W 2 6 2 +4 6
2 Como 1907 W 1 4 1 +3 3
3 Juventus W 1 3 1 +2 3
4 Ternana W 2 3 3 0 3
5 Inter Milano W 1 2 0 +2 3
6 Como W 1 2 1 +1 3
7 Fiorentina W 2 2 2 0 3
8 Parma W 2 1 2 -1 1
9 Lazio W 2 1 3 -2 1
10 Napoli W 1 1 3 -2 0
11 AC Milan W 1 1 4 -3 0
12 Sassuolo W 2 1 5 -4 0