Statistics / Football / Malaysia. Super League / Kelantan Red Warrior FC vs Selangor

Kelantan Red Warrior FC vs Selangor Statistics & Analysis

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Kelantan Red Warrior FC
Aug 22, 2026 - 13:00
1 1.12
4 1.48
xG Accuracy: 48%
Selangor Selangor
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Selangor Selangor ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 1-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 16, 2026 · 01:41 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4221820

Closing Odds 1.11
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Selangor win · Kelantan Red Warrior FC 1–4 Selangor
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

The largest late implied swing on this feed was about 2.21 percentage points on Selangor (1X2) between PRE30 and PRE1.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Under 2.5 goals by about 22.8 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market Model % Closing impl. % Gap (pp)
Kelantan Red Warrior FC (1X2) 27.1 5.5 +21.6
Draw (1X2) 29.1 10.9 +18.1
Selangor (1X2) 43.9 83.6 -39.8
Over 2.5 goals 48.2 71.0 -22.8
Under 2.5 goals 51.8 29.0 +22.8
What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 51.8% on Under 2.5 goals, while the closing snapshot implied about 29.0%. The difference — about 22.8 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Bet365

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Market Early (PRE30) Closing (PRE1) Implied Δ (pp)
Kelantan Red Warrior FC (1X2) 21.0 17.0 +1.1
Draw (1X2) 9.5 8.5 +1.2
Selangor (1X2) 1.08 1.11 -2.2
Over 2.5 goals 1.33 1.33 0.0
Under 2.5 goals 3.25 3.25 0.0

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Model favours Selangor; market prices Selangor instead — inputs may be missing or stale.

  • Model: Kelantan Red Warrior FC 1.12 xG vs Selangor 1.48 → Selangor 43.8%
  • Market: Selangor ~83.6% implied
  • Validation failed — do not treat 1X2 EV as actionable.

Do not act on 1X2 value until validation passes. Structural leans (O/U, BTTS) need separate odds review.

Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.6% · No 46.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Wait - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Super League Super League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Johor Darul Takzim FC 5 5 0 0 15
2 Kuching FA 5 4 0 1 12
3 Selangor 4 4 0 0 12
4 Sabah FA 4 2 0 2 6
5 DPMM FC 4 2 0 2 6
6 Kuala Lumpur FA 5 2 0 3 6
7 Terengganu 4 1 2 1 5
8 Negeri Sembilan 4 1 1 2 4
9 Penang 4 1 1 2 4
10 Melaka 4 1 0 3 3
11 Imigresen 4 0 2 2 2
12 Kelantan Red Warrior FC 5 0 0 5 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Johor Darul Takzim FC 5 25 0 +25 15
2 Kuching FA 5 15 4 +11 12
3 Selangor 4 13 3 +10 12
4 Sabah FA 4 6 5 +1 6
5 Negeri Sembilan 4 6 7 -1 4
6 Melaka 4 5 9 -4 3
7 Terengganu 4 4 4 0 5
8 Kuala Lumpur FA 5 4 13 -9 6
9 Imigresen 4 4 13 -9 2
10 Kelantan Red Warrior FC 5 4 24 -20 0
11 DPMM FC 4 3 5 -2 6
12 Penang 4 3 5 -2 4