Statistics / Football / Tanzania. Ligi kuu Bara / Coastal Union vs Azam

Coastal Union vs Azam Statistics & Analysis

Coastal Union Coastal Union
Oct 09, 2026 - 18:00
0 1.13
2 1.47
xG Accuracy: 63%
Azam Azam
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Azam Azam ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 0-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 02, 2026 · 01:21 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12431033

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Azam win · Coastal Union 0–2 Azam
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Ligi kuu Bara
  • Fixture: Coastal Union vs Azam
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-08 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 27.5% · Draw 29.2% · Away 43.3%
  • xG (showing): Coastal Union 1.13 — Azam 1.47 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.7% · No 46.3%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.7% · No 46.3%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Coastal Union & Azam!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Ligi kuu Bara Ligi kuu Bara — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Simba 8 8 0 0 24
2 Young Africans 7 6 0 1 18
3 Azam 8 5 2 1 17
4 Mashujaa 8 4 0 4 12
5 Singida Fountain Gate 8 3 2 3 11
6 Dodoma Jiji 7 3 2 2 11
7 Polisi Tanzania 7 3 1 3 10
8 Mbeya City 7 3 1 3 10
9 JKT Tanzania 7 3 1 3 10
10 Coastal Union 8 3 1 4 10
11 Namungo 8 3 0 5 9
12 Geita Gold 7 2 1 4 7
13 Kitayosce 7 1 3 3 6
14 Kagera Sugar 7 1 2 4 5
15 Pamba Jiji 7 1 1 5 4
16 Singida Big Stars 7 1 1 5 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Simba 8 19 4 +15 24
2 Young Africans 7 17 4 +13 18
3 Singida Fountain Gate 8 14 11 +3 11
4 Azam 8 13 7 +6 17
5 Polisi Tanzania 7 10 9 +1 10
6 JKT Tanzania 7 9 11 -2 10
7 Geita Gold 7 9 12 -3 7
8 Mashujaa 8 9 13 -4 12
9 Pamba Jiji 7 8 13 -5 4
10 Kagera Sugar 7 8 15 -7 5
11 Mbeya City 7 7 7 0 10
12 Coastal Union 8 7 11 -4 10
13 Namungo 8 7 11 -4 9
14 Kitayosce 7 6 7 -1 6
15 Dodoma Jiji 7 5 5 0 11
16 Singida Big Stars 7 3 11 -8 4
Ligi kuu Bara Tanzania. Ligi kuu Bara Predictions